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Ipsos/Mclatchy Poll - Obama 45, McCain 45 (-1): Poll suggests McCain's support softening.

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-16-08 11:13 PM
Original message
Ipsos/Mclatchy Poll - Obama 45, McCain 45 (-1): Poll suggests McCain's support softening.
Edited on Tue Sep-16-08 11:17 PM by hnmnf
The Poll was done From thursday to monday.


WASHINGTON — John McCain and Barack Obama remained neck and neck seven weeks before Election Day, but there's been some softening of the support for McCain and his running mate, a new Ipsos/McClatchy poll has found.

The national survey found registered voters split evenly, with 45 percent supporting McCain, the Republican, and 45 percent supporting Obama, the Democrat.

Two percent supported independent candidate Ralph Nader, 1 percent supported Libertarian Bob Barr, 5 percent supported none of those choices and 2 percent said they didn't know whom they supported.

The latest survey of 1,046 registered voters was taken nationwide from last Thursday through Monday. Its error margin was plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.

The competition was similar to the week before, when 46 percent supported McCain and 45 percent supported Obama.

In the subsequent week, McCain's running mate, Sarah Palin, dominated news coverage of the presidential race as financial markets faced a new round of turmoil.

"It seems like McCain is holding the ground he gained with his convention bump," said Clifford Young, a senior vice president at Ipsos, a public affairs firm. "We're not seeing any fast deterioration."

While there was no significant change in the number of voters who said they supported either ticket, the poll did suggest some easing of the commitment to McCain-Palin.

Among those supporting McCain and Palin, 71 percent said they'd definitely vote for the ticket, down from 77 percent the week before. The slice of those who said they'd probably vote for McCain-Palin rose from 10 percent to 13 percent, and the total of those who said they could change their minds rose from 10 percent to 12 percent.

"It does suggest a slight wavering on the McCain-Palin side," Young said. "There's a little more doubt in people's minds. There are underlying signs that the convention bump may have a time stamp on it."

Support for Obama and Biden remained almost the same as the previous week, slightly more solid than McCain and Palin's support.

Among Obama-Biden supporters, 80 percent said they'd definitely vote for the ticket, the same as the week before.

Another 13 percent said they'd probably vote for the ticket, up from 12 percent the week before. Seven percent said they could change their minds, down from 8 percent the week before.

McCain leads among non-Hispanic whites and among households with incomes greater than $50,000.

Obama leads among Hispanics and non-Hispanic blacks, as well as among women and in households with annual incomes below $25,000


http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/52628.html
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-16-08 11:43 PM
Response to Original message
1. It started last Thursday which puts it all the way back in the lipstick frenzy. I'd be
interested to see polling of just this week.
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-16-08 11:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. softening? His support needs VIAGRA!!!! ......
Acutally that's not really true, but it was too good of a joke to save until next week when it really will be true.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-16-08 11:51 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Who knows what's rumbling beneath the
surface..they're prolly calling out bob dole right now.
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nam78_two Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-16-08 11:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Obama is gonna be fine-the issues are back in the table
They are going to be on the table come election day.

People realize by now how important this election is, even if they are susceptible to being temporarily distracted by whatserface and her soap opera....
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Politics_Guy25 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Awesome news-XD
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AzNick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-08 01:00 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. Obama will lead after the debates
Those who hesitate will realize they have to choose between an old crook with a yellow combover and a young energetic smart guy.

Biden vs Palin will be fantastic.

"What do you mean, Joey?" (blink blink)
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Awsi Dooger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-08 01:24 AM
Response to Original message
7. Sounds good
We need to get McCain out of the high 40s. I wasn't as concerned about margin as the opponent threatening the 50% area. Women are typically the majority of the true undecideds so Obama is in good shape if it stays in the 45-45 area. Eventually the pollsters push the undecideds in the final weeks.
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