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Rasmussen daily tracking graph for 9/13/08 - Obama 45, McCain 48 (unchanged)

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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 08:54 AM
Original message
Rasmussen daily tracking graph for 9/13/08 - Obama 45, McCain 48 (unchanged)
With leaners, Obama 46, McCain 49 (unchanged)














These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion
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Max_powers94 Donating Member (715 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 08:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. Whatever....Obama ahead!!!!!!!
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 08:58 AM
Response to Original message
2. just a big polling day the other day for McCrap
that's all. Doesn't look like he built on it.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:00 AM
Response to Original message
3. four tracking polls: McCain ahead in 2 (Gallup narrowing), Obama in 2
so I would say overall it's a dead heat.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:24 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. I Thought He's Only Ahead In Hotline And Tied In Newsweek
~
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. DKos' research2000 poll has O by a point
It's a great poll, as they release the crosstabs and the *daily* totals. Completely transparent.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:36 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. TY
WHITE 57% 35% 3% 2% 1% 2%


This is disturbing...I don't think he can win with 35% of the white vote unless he gets over seventy percent of the Latino vote which would be extroadinary...
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Tutonic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. He will get the 70% of Latino and 98% of African American. I
wouldn't put too much stock in Rasmussen--they were wrong throughout the Primary. They can't seem to account for the Hsipanic and African American electorate.
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
4. This could be seen as encouraging
At least it's not getting worse.
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Sugarcoated Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 09:22 AM
Response to Original message
5. Obama always polls weaker on the weekend
Edited on Sat Sep-13-08 09:22 AM by Sugarcoated
so he may be closer than this poll suggests.

edit: typo
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. We observed that during the primary
Implying that Rasmussen needs to modify their model to take weekend fluctuations in their sample into account.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-13-08 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. Rasmussen published an analysis of the weekend effect on Ras. and Gallup. Found no such trend.
Don't blame the messenger. I am only noting that he did publish that.
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