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Anybody want to make any CNN/Gallup Poll predictions?

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RoundRockD Donating Member (426 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:08 AM
Original message
Anybody want to make any CNN/Gallup Poll predictions?
MIne is Dumbya 52%, Kerry 42%.

Then they'll be writing Kerry's political obituary.
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JuniorPlankton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:15 AM
Response to Original message
1. You are barking up the wrong tree
While CNN are definitely whores, Gallup is a decent organization.
(I said it before and I am saying it again)
Yesterday's Rasmussen poll confirms Gallup's Florida results.

As for CNN, well....
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Langis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:19 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. The nation wide Gallup poll is very slanted tward Republicans
It will probably be 49% Bush and 43% kerry.
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annxburns Donating Member (948 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:22 AM
Response to Original message
3. Gallup's national poll is VERY skewed republican
Remember after the convention it was 51% to 47% Bush - every other poll had Kerry up by 3-5%.

My guess if 54% to 45% or something along those lines.

CNN will write Kerry's obituary and there will be 400 threads announcing doom and gloom and Mickey Kaus will revel in Kerry's misfortune (as he always does) ....
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
4. Bush 50% Kerry 44% Nader 2%
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West Coast Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
5. It will be similar to the LA Times poll
in the recent past, the LA Times poll has actually been more slanted toward Bush than Gallup.
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cspiguy Donating Member (679 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. and normally the LAT despises *
n/t
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West Coast Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. Not the LA Times Poll
It seems that few DUers have noticed that the LA Times has always inflated *'s approval numbers. Look at their past polls. He's always remained above 50%.
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Connie_Corleone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
7. Well, the last time the press wrote Kerry's obituary,
Kerry ended up winning the primaries. So, bring it on!
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 11:47 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Bush 50% Kerry 47% Nader 2%
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faithnotgreed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. im with you david.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:00 PM
Response to Original message
10. I bet they'll have Bush up by six. However, they tend to be simply inaccur
ate so you never know.
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Rivermont Donating Member (12 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:04 PM
Response to Original message
11. I say 50/47 in favor of Bush.....
This thing is going down to the wire, I am afraid.

We need a scandal or something.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. Why Don't You Make One Up (nt)
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xyboymil Donating Member (404 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. When does it come out? This afternoon or evening or??
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:10 PM
Response to Original message
13. I Question Gallup's Methodology Not It's Veracity....
Most polls boil down to a matter of sampling.....



How many Dems, Republicans, and Indys do you expect to vote in your sample... It's that simple.....
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:16 PM
Response to Original message
14. Kerry up by 2%
I say this because there is a strange headline today for inside politics. The heading say's "is the sbvl ads hurting Kerry and Bush? It seems to me if they had a really negative poll it would say "how bad are the sbvl ad hurting Kerry. Maybe it means nothing but I will stick with my prediction.
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