Economic Models Predict Clear Obama Victory in November (Reuters)

[scheming daemons]

By Alister Bull

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - It really is the economy, stupid!

Economic models that have correctly predicted the winner of almost all post-war U.S. presidential elections say recession fears will secure a victory for Barack Obama in November.

Three separate studies showed the Democratic presidential hopeful winning between 52 and 55 percent of the popular vote on November 4, based on current gloomy economic estimates.

Any further darkening in the economic outlook -- many analysts think things will get worse between now and November -- would reinforce that election outcome.

"The economy is certainly not going to be a positive for the Republicans," said Ray Fair, an economics professor at Yale university who built the earliest of the models in 1978.

Read the entire article at:

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN0138628820080801?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews

[David Dunham]

1. It will still be close. These same models predicted a clear Gore win in 2000.

[scheming daemons]

2. Gore did win in 2000..... by half a million votes......

The model was accurate.

[liberal N proud]

3. He may win the election but will he be allowed to take the oath of office

Will the GOP steal it as they did in 2000?

[Merlot]

4. But there isn't a recession...Rinse and repeat....

If this is a Reuters article, why does it link to freerepublic?

Nevermind!

[Yavin4]

5. Diebold Voting Machines Laugh At Models

Models, schmodels.

[liberalla]

6. Why don't I feel better?

52 to 55 percent won't do it folks! Not with Diebold, Sequoia, E S & S, etc.

Nothing clear about 52 to 55% - Kerry had that! Look where we are now. We have to do better than that, or it's McCain for 4 more.