Election 2008: Kentucky Presidential Election
Kentucky: McCain Still Has Solid Advantage
Friday, June 27, 2008
John McCain still has a comfortable lead over Barack Obama in Kentucky despite the fact that the race has become closer by nine points over the past month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Bluegrass State finds McCain up 51% to 35%.
Last month, the Republican nominee led 57% to 32% before Obama clinched the Democratic nomination.
McCain has a decisive 57% to 28% advantage among men in Kentucky, but only leads the Democrat by four points among women in the state. He earns support from 79% of Republicans and a third of Kentucky’s Democrats Obama only attracts half (50%) of Kentucky Democrats and trails by eleven among unaffiliated voters.
Kentucky has typically cast its eight Electoral College votes for Republican candidates, though voters have chosen Democratic candidates who hail from southern states, such as Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter. In 2004, Bush easily won the state by a 60% to 40% margin. Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is given a 94.9% chance of winning in November and Kentucky is classified as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
McCain is viewed favorably by 63% of Kentucky voters, and unfavorably by 34%. Obama’s ratings are less flattering: 41% favorable, 57% unfavorable.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kentucky/election_2008_kentucky_presidential_election