FL, MI and PR a NET SETBACK of FIVE DELEGATES for Obama

[berni_mccoy]

On Friday I posted the following "33 or 41 Until We're Done" http://journals.democraticunderground.com/berni_mccoy/352

That is, there was only a window of 33 delegates before Clinton was shut out from being able to reach the nomination (by any combo of SDs and PDs) and Obama needed only 41 delegates (SDs or PDs).

As of today, after FL and MI have been settled and PR has had it's say, Obama now needs 46 delegates, while Clinton's Window is now only 31.5. So, Clinton is actually 1.5 delegates closer to being shut out, while Obama is only 5 more away from needing the magic number (now 2117, up from 2025 from last week).

To put it another way: without factoring the pre-determined add-ons and known Obama supporting delegates, Clinton needs 86% of the remaining delegates (SDs and PDs combined), while Obama only needs 19% of the remaining delegates.

If you count the ones that are expected to go for Obama, as David Swanson has in his latest blog: http://journals.democraticunderground.com/davidswanson/491, Clinton really needs about 358% of the remaining delegates.

It's over. Well, at least by Tuesday, it will be. I'm willing to wait the 48 hours.

[berni_mccoy]

1. .

morning kick.