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Having slept on the matter of Hillary's remarks about RFK's assassination in JUNE (that's for you, Hillary supporters) in order to justify staying in the race, I am struck with one simple truth: this talking point has been used before, at least on three other occasions. Here is the kernel to Hillary's problem: this talking point never should have been approved for the candidate to say. It required Hillary to say it in only a certain way, otherwise it could have blown up in her face, as it did yesterday. Candidates have to talk all day, and it is always important that staffers prep their candidates with things to say where the margin of error isn't so tiny. If they wanted to argue that other primaries had dragged on, there were other historical examples which would have worked much better, and would not have been such a minefield. Given all of this, there is an obvious conclusion:
Her campaign really screwed this up from the start. She made her mistake yesterday, but it was rooted in their mistake in making this a talking point in the first place.
Take it from me, I know about these sorts of things. I still remember when Kerry botched the Joke, a joke that never should have been written for him, because of a margin of error close to zero for it blowing up in his face, which it did. Since he had not decided whether he was going to run for president or not, he was accorded some time to decide whether his error was fatal. In the end, he decided not to run, no doubt for a variety of reasons, but I can imagine The Joke made that decision clearer to make. Although the candidate takes ultimate responsibility for what they say and do, it was in my view rooted in a staffer error.
Politics is a tough, tough business. It doesn't seem fair that an error made from the bottom that works its way to the top should sink a candidate. But in this case, Hillary had already lost the nomination, and was hanging on for reasons I do not understand. She needs to think long and hard what her next move will be. I think "Assasinationgate" will make her decision far easier to make. Philosophically, I think sometimes things happen for a reason. Kerry elected not to run in 2007, and with that a huge proportion of his staff and donors jumped on the Obama train. I think that made a difference in the 2008 election, as these folks had learned some very hard lessons, and their scars proved to be wisdom they could share with Team Obama. Similarly, "Assasinationgate" may be a blessing in disguise for Hillary, in ways we simply cannot understand right now.
Hillary supporters: this is just what happens sometimes. Right now everything seems dark, and it feels like you have been punched in the stomach. But it does get better.
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