Rasmussen: Kerry holding onto Edwards bounce.

[MallRat]

For six consecutive days, Kerry has been +3 or +4 over Bush. It's the first time in months that either candidate has opened up any kind of sustained lead.

MoE is +/-3 points, so we're still not in the clear, but it's a positive trend.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_P...

[Goldmund]

1. It's actually the first time since Kerry's unoffficial nomination

that either candidate has held a 3+ point advantage for more than 3 days.

[trogdor]

2. Wait until the convention bounce kicks in.

Can you say 15 point landslide?

[iconoclastic cat]

3. In terms of poli/sci, is there a date which is a point of no return?

I mean, is there historical precedent and mathematical certainty that can accurately predict a "win" in a legitimate election? BBV, Jeb! and all nonwithstanding...