Zogby: Clinton by 1 in PA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!YAHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[Laura PourMeADrink]

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1481

Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Deadlocked in Pennsylvania!


UTICA, New York—With just five days left before Democratic primary voters go to polls to decide who they want to be their presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois are locked in a battle that is too close to call, the latest Newsmax/Zogby telephone poll shows.


The survey, which was conducted April 15-16, 2008 and came out of the field midway through Wednesday's contentious debate between the two candidates in Philadelphia, shows Clinton at 45% and Obama at 44%, with 12% either wanting someone else or left undecided.


The telephone survey, conducted using live operators working out of Zogby's on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 601 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.

Clinton leads by a wide margin in western Pennsylvania, including Pittsburgh, while Obama leads by a large percentage in eastern Pennsylvania, including Philadelphia. In the central part of the state, including the state capital of Harrisburg, Clinton leads by eight points.

Pennsylvania


Clinton
45%

Obama
44%

Someone else
3%

Not sure
9%

[Zachstar]

1. There are multiple topics on this why did you start another?

[Laura PourMeADrink]

4. Sheer Joy - I can't control it - it's taken me over ! nt

[Zachstar]

11. Then calm down... It is not likely to be that close!

[Laura PourMeADrink]

15. I agree. I crunched some numbers yesterday. The range of

Hillary's win will be anywhere from 6.2 to 16.4. That factors in
the error rate history of each recent pollster.

Now, with these new Zogby numbers, the new range is
5.3 to 14.3 for Clinton's win.

[LSK]

33. because I didnt see the other posts

[caledesi]

2. Yes We Can! nt

[quantass]

37. .

[Coexist]

3. zogby also had Obama up in CA and OH - I wouldn't trust him

and I am a big Obama supporter.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

6. I know. Let's just hope he figured out what the hell he was doing

wrong. He used to be spot on and well respected.

[not_too_L8]

5. I like those numbers, but you can't rely on NewsMax

[quantass]

45. .

[Blue_State_Elitist]

7. Uh oh, somebody slipped Zogby a twenty.

Zogby whores himself again.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

13. Sorry. I think he's lost his mojo too. Like when he had Obama

winning large in NH. But, you know, everyone likes
pollsters who predict the person they like will win,
don't ya think?

Bet you like ARG who's got as bad a record as Zogby.

[Exultant Democracy]

22. You do understand that each time Zogby has shown Obama with a "lead" it helped Clinton

by moving the goal posts of expectation. If he had had Obama way down in his polls instead of way up Obama could have done a victory lap with a close second, Zogby made that more or less impossible.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

25. interesting theory - never thought of that. I knew he had been way

off base - and thought it wildly uncharacteristic of him - And then, to read his
contorted explanation in NH....

But to purposely plant a false result out there...Hmmm. Guess he'd have to be
making a lot more from fixing than he could otherwise.

I can still smell NH. something totally amiss happened there - I will never
believe otherwise.

[here_is_to_hope]

26. Thats a bit more than you have slipped DU....n/t

[Bucky]

32. I don't think Blue felt that knife slide in between his ribs

But he sure musta felt it pulling back out. Well done, Hope, well done!

[Swamp Rat]

8. k&r

[meow mix]

9. K&R

[Laura PourMeADrink]

10. I know. What's big is the undecideds too. I heard yesterday that

this high number could mean people are turned off to both
and that they will likely stay at home?

[Cosmocat]

14. That is retarded ...

stay home ???

First, there are lot of other offices up than just the presidency ... There are house seats up everywhere, state and federal ...

Second, Pa's primary has not been "important" in a LONG time ... It could make or break Hill for sure ... People aren't going to stay home for the first time their vote has meant in the primary, it hasn't been THAT bad with these two ...

I am full out behind Obama now ... And, as someone else noted, even a year ago, he was the man ... But, his track record this cycle, especially when it has Obama doing better than the norm, is not real good ...

[Laura PourMeADrink]

16. Retarded? Just quoting Chuck Todd. Your points are quite valid. nt

[Cosmocat]

27. I like Todd ...

all due respect to both of you ...

Being in Pa, I just don't see there being any less than the trend all primary of BIG turnouts ...

[Laura PourMeADrink]

29. I hope so! I like Chuck Todd too - but lately he's been saying

kind of crazy stuff. Like Rush is not getting his ditto heads out to
vote for Clinton. I am in Texas, and at the polls on election day, I know for a fact (because
they told me) that they were voting for her.

What's your feel for the "operation chaos" in PA?

[butterfly77]

39. The media is trying to play with peoples minds...

[livetohike]

12. Some of the Steelers are going door to door for Obama

in the Pgh. area this weekend! I just heard that on the radio as I was on my way home :bounce:.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

19. Couldn't they go to Altoona or Harrisburg or Scranton instead?

[livetohike]

20. Let's call them and suggest it!

:-) and :hi:

[Imagevision]

17. Go Steelers!

[BlooInBloo]

18. That's "Stillers" to yinz.

[LulaMay]

21. WOW! ZOBGY! H'e like my FAVorite Wildly Innacurate Pollster!!!!

[Quixote1818]

23. I support Obama but Zogby has sucked lately. Notice the 9% Not Sure

nt

[BlooInBloo]

24. As long as he loses by less than 15, I'm happy.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

31. You, my friend, are going to be happy. I took all the most recent

polls, added in their historical discrepencies and
came up with a range of Clinton winning of: 5.3-14.3

[Vinca]

28. Woo Hoo!!!!!!!!! It backfired. nt

[MarjorieG]

30. Don't trust Zogby.

Some of 04 and other results may have been honest snapshots before election fraud results, but since Newsmax picks him up, and does provide overtstaemnets resulting in comeback declarations, maybe paid for (as many pollsters favor who's paying, I just don't think after non-stop "bitter" ads and talk shock radio daily over same, Obama would be making such leaps.

Just so he keeps it close.

Learning from debates until now, and fast learmner generally, this debate his worst. Maybe a culmination of all the speeches and damage control he's had to do. I have no doubt he will be prepared come McCain debates after preparation.

McCain comes to "my friends" with earnest "sorry we have to have constant war" in comforting grandpa tones. I am sure Obama will have an answer.

[quantass]

34. K&R

[Eurobabe]

35. Mo, mo, mo, how do you like it....

GOBAMA!!

Barack is going to win. The fairies told me so.

:bounce:

[crankychatter]

36. Historically Zogby has been dead on... helped catch Fraud in '04

Personally, I wouldn't discount this poll.

it's Spring... there will be a Swing

People want hope and renewal

Obama's going to give it to them

[ej510]

38. Zogby was right in ca but absentee voting took place before the polling.

Alot of the early voters in ca wish that they voted for him over her.

[Freddie Stubbs]

40. Zogby did accurately predict the double digit margin of the California primary...

;)

[jconner27]

41. Didn't ole Zog had Obama winning in Cali? Enough said

[Buzz Clik]

42. If Hillary wins, this will be big. It will show the Super Ds that she is still viable.

Then, if she wins in Puerto Rico, she's on her way.

[quantass]

43. K&R

[quantass]

44. .