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Rasmussen- Obama maintains lead, trails McCain by only 3 while Hillary loses by 10.

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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 11:42 AM
Original message
Rasmussen- Obama maintains lead, trails McCain by only 3 while Hillary loses by 10.
Edited on Sun Mar-30-08 11:42 AM by adoraz
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows John McCain leading Barack Obama 47% to 44%. He leads Hillary Clinton 50% to 40%.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Obama 47% Clinton 42%. Clinton leads by ten among White voters. This includes a twenty-three point advantage among White Women. Obama leads among White Men, has an overwhelming advantage among African-Americans, and a solid lead among voters under 50.

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is now viewed favorably by 54% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 44%. Obama’s reviews are 49% favorable and 48% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 42% favorable, 56% unfavorable.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 11:42 AM
Response to Original message
1. The New Comeback Kid
nt
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
2. Her negatives drag her down in general election match-ups, which are
never "accurate" in early stages in the way they are in late fall of an election year, but by the same token, by that point in the race it's too late to pick the stronger candidate versus McCain.

And that would be Barack Obama.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
3. A few days ago he was down ten, now three.
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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 11:45 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. yeah and his favorable rating
is higher than his unfavorable rating
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. Has it happened before that the white-supported candidate didn't win?
I don't think so. It's interesting. I support Obama. While he has been able to build a winning coalition in the primaries, there are enough whites, for various reasons, who do not support him so that he does not have a national lead among whites. I'm glad that Democratic Party is a diverse party. I don't care about this per se, but the spin people do.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Hillary has only won a narrow plurality of whites. It's not as though Obama has no white support.
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:05 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Oh I know...
But it seemed like with Jackson in '88, who was indeed in the lead for a short time, that the national party elite pulled out all the stops to ensure that he not be the candidate, and we aren't seeing that this time, which is a tremendous relief. If the national party were as backward now, I think Obama would not have managed to be as successful in building a coalition.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Jackson was not a possible national candidate. He was far too extreme on a lot of issues to win.
It wasn't racially motivated so much as it was pragmatism. As bad as Dukakis lost, it would have been worse if Jackson had been the nominee.
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I don't think he was too extreme, but point taken.
He favored national health care, public works, expanded social services, and a non-interventionist foreign policy. Sounds great to me. And I'm not too sure he would have done too much worse than Dukakis ended up. Probably, granted.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:22 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Jackson could have been one the several 40 percenters we've had in history.
That's about as low as you can go, but I can easily see how that would have happened. Jackson's views were not extreme by our standards on DU with the exception of reparations for slavery. That issue alone would have killed him.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. Kerry lost the white vote by 17 points, Gore by 16
Democrats have not won the white vote in a general election in a long time. Bill Clinton didn't win it either.

I understand what you are saying - whites are swing voters, while African Americans can be counted on to vote Democratic either way. That may be true, but I am not sure they can be expected to turn out if Clinton gets the nomination with clouded legitimacy. And I think if Obama is the nominee, black turnout might hit record levels, offsetting any loss of white voters.

In the latest NBC poll, Obama was actually losing the white vote to McCain by a smaller margin than Clinton, AND by a smaller margin than Kerry lost the white vote to Bush in 2004. Although in looking at the crosstabs, I couldn't tell if they counted Hispanics as white, which would obviously throw things off a bit.
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ananda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Many White people have lost their way.
They have given in to fear, greed, selfishness,
racism, and false memes like rugged individualism
and the American Dream.

Sue
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Moloch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
8. Glad to see Obama finally rebounding...
McCain has had large leads for about two weeks now in Rasmussen.. Hopefully Obama will pull ahead in the next few days.
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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 02:36 PM
Response to Original message
12. ..
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Herman74 Donating Member (429 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:07 PM
Response to Original message
15. Why the hell does Obama trail McCain by any margin?
McCain is just sooooo Bush III!!!! Terrible that this stupid, overblown Wright scandal is causing so much damage. People need to realize that one can disagree with one's pastor, that one's pastor does not define him or her.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-30-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
16. Old HIll-of-beans is crashing and burning. Ding Dong....
:applause:
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