The Election Is Kerry's To Lose-Zogby

[Clark4Prez]

"I have made a career of taking bungee jumps in my election calls. Sometimes I haven't had a helmet and I have gotten a little scratched. But here is my jump for 2004: John Kerry will win the election.


Have you recovered from the shock? Is this guy nuts? Kerry's performance of late has hardly been inspiring and polls show that most Americans have no sense of where he really stands on the key issues that matter most to them. Regardless, I still think that he will win. And if he doesn't, it will be because he blew it. There are four major reasons for my assertion:


First, my most recent poll (April 12-15) shows bad re-election numbers for an incumbent President. Senator Kerry is leading 47% to 44% in a two-way race, and the candidates are tied at 45% in the three-way race with Ralph Nader. Significantly, only 44% feel that the country is headed in the right direction and only 43% believe that President Bush deserves to be re-elected - compared with 51% who say it is time for someone new."


http://www.zogby.com/news/051004.html

[fertilizeonarbusto]

1. he's right

I know very few people agree with me, but I think Bush is toast. Edwards or Clark would be beating him by now, Kerry will beat him by November-especially if he goes with either of those two as Veep.

[elperromagico]

2. The United States is entering its Winter of Discontent with Bush*.

A man can only lie so much before the lies begin to suffocate him.

[Gothmog]

3. I found this to be very encouraging

I agree with his analysis and Zogby does have a decent track record.

[kainah]

4. And, of course....

things have only gotten worse since that Zogby poll was done (April 12-15). The numbers of the CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released today are even worse than these -- and CNN/USA Today/Gallup has been notoriously on the high side for this pResident. The trend line for * is down, down, down....

Nonetheless, don't get cocky. The truth is that Kerry still could really blow it and, more significantly, never forget that * lost the 2000 election but is sitting in the White House nonetheless. People have to be really prepared to fight from now until the election and then, quite possibly, again AFTER THE ELECTION to insure that the neocons don't steal the 2004 election as well.

[Piperay]

5. Hip hip hooray

I hope he is right!!!! :bounce: