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A quick look at the election prediction markets shows....

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 06:57 PM
Original message
A quick look at the election prediction markets shows....
http://www.intrade.com
http://www.rasmussenreports.com

To win nomination:
Obama 72.5 (up 0.9 since yesterday)
Clinton 27.9

To win PA:
Clinton 82.0
Obama 19.1

To win NC:
Obama 87.4
Clinton 18.0

To win IN:
Obama 57.5
Clinton 50.7


To win GE:
Dem Candidate 60.9
McCain 39.6


To summarize: Obama has about a 75% chance at the nomination, and Obama|Hillary has about a 60% chance of being President.

This is UP TO DATE... After the Wright nonsense.


Bottom line:

Relax Obama peeps... his share price has held. That means the American BETTOR, the ones putting their money where their mouth is, are not phased by the Wright thing. Other than far RW nutjobs and hopeful Hillary hyenas, nobody's treating this as a serious issue.
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Tribetime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. see if it holds up
I thought this attack was way overblown.
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. you may be right.
I wasn't worried he wouldnt win the nomination over this though. I was worried about how the republicans will use this once he does get the nomination.

at the same time, i now think most people care more about the issues now that the economy is tanking than what someone's preacher is saying.
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Tribetime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:45 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. about the only thing I disagreed with
was the wording of GD america..I myself thought seeing all those bumper stickers "God Bless America" and Bush 04, why would Gpod bless a country that caused a pre-emptive war killing how many of hundred of thousand innocent. His basic ideas I thought were right.


I also strongly disagree with his comments about Hillary, that shouldn't of had anything to do in his sermon.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-15-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. K & R
:thumbsup:
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