TPM: OBAMA HAS ERASED HILLARY'S MARCH 4 GAINS!

[mod mom]

Delegate Scoreboard: Obama Has Erased Hillary's March 4 Gains
By Eric Kleefeld - March 12, 2008, 9:49AM
Barack Obama's likely delegate take from Mississippi appears to be a +5 edge — while he won the popular vote by 24 points, Hillary Clinton's narrow win in the First Congressional District will apparently keep the delegate margin at 19-14.

But here's something to put it in perspective: Between the Mississippi and Wyoming results alone, Obama will have just about undone Hillary's small delegate gains from March 4.

Here are the latest delegate estimates from various news organization, including super-delegates unless otherwise noted:

CNN: Obama 1,608, Clinton 1,478
CNN: Obama 1,402, Clinton 1,240 (Not counting supers)

NBC: Obama 1,610, Clinton 1,496
NBC: Obama 1,394, Clinton 1,242 (Not counting supers)

ABC: Obama 1,600, Clinton 1,484

CBS: Obama 1,591, Clinton 1,471

WaPo: Obama 1,596, Clinton 1,484
WaPo: Obama 1,385, Clinton 1,237 (Not counting supers)

NYT: Obama 1,510.5, Clinton 1,403
NYT: Obama 1,348, Clinton 1,210.5 (Not counting supers)

AP: Obama 1,596, Clinton 1,484
AP: Obama 1,385, Clinton 1,237 (Not counting supers)
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/delegate_scoreboard_obama_has.php

[YOY]

1. Hush now...

She is "in it to win it" don't you know...or to act like a petulant child about the whole affair if she can't...

[mod mom]

2. Let's hope the press reports this. They appear to have too much vested in selling ads

to report the facts-think about who won TX-OBAMA HAD MORE DELEGATES YET ONLY NPR & KO ARE REPORTING THIS.

[shraby]

3. Why is there differences in the delegate

count from one organization to the other? I would think they would be in agreement as it's all in the math.

[Rageneau]

4. This is a marathon. We're at mile 19. Obama is still slightly ahead.

But the race is effectively still a tie.

[mod mom]

5. A tie? you forgot the sarcasm notation-right?

For instance, the Obama campaign has just sent out another memo -- the second of the day! -- elaborating the case for his electability and attempting to debunk Hillary's "big states" spin. This one's signed by governors in non-"key" states Obama has won: Iowa's Chet Culver, Wisconsin's Jim Doyle, Washington's Christine Gregoire, Virginia's Tim Kaine, and Missouri's Claire McCaskill.

Key excerpt:


The Clinton campaign’s argument ignores relevant facts about how significant a role these states played in determining the outcome of the presidential race in 2004. In fact, Obama has won 7 of 9 of the biggest states that were close in the 2004 presidential election and have already selected delegates to the 2008 Democratic convention.

More than half of the votes that Senator Clinton has won so far have come from just five states. It’s also worth noting that polls in four of these five states show that Obama would be a stronger general election candidate against McCain than Clinton.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/