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Finally got hold of a red hot poll, and it's a goodie!!

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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:25 PM
Original message
Finally got hold of a red hot poll, and it's a goodie!!
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EstimatedProphet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. what part of this poll is good?
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Kerry's ahead? Bush*'s approval is at all time lows?
Edited on Sun Apr-18-04 07:30 PM by saywhat
Could be, and should be better, but I like the look of things. Kerry is pretty consistently ahead in all polls released over the last few weeks.
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fearnobush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I think the link was to refer to a new Zogby poll finding
Kerry 47% Bush 44% or 45% tied with Vader in the mix.
<http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm >
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EstimatedProphet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. OK
All I was seeing was Bush ahead of Kerry
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cally Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. The Zogby poll looks great
Kerry 47% vs. 44% for *. It has not changed much since the last poll which is a disappointment.

Were you referring to a different poll?
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Did you look at *'s approval rating?
Plus, I think it IS good that Kerry is staying ahead! With all the negativity bush*co is directing at him, Kerry's holding up great!
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RoyGBiv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. Sadly, No
Zogby International Poll. April 15-17, 2004. N=1,049 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

"Please tell me if your overall opinion of George W. Bush is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, or you are not familiar enough to form an opinion."


Favorable : 53%
Unfavorable : 45%
Not Familiar/Not Sure : 2%

This is fairly static at a time when his favorability ratings should be plummeting. Comparative to this same poll previously, the rating for Bush is down, but remember that some polls recently have had that rating below 50%.

As for Kerry staying ahead, the Zogby poll results are within the margin of error, so it's still effectively tied for the overall national picture. Again, with all the scandal and bad news coming out of Iraq, Kerry's numbers should be much higher, and the negatives against Bush should be much stronger. There's something *not right* here.

Sorry to sound like a wet blanket, and I'd really like to be uplifted, but this worries me. BushCo's big guns have not been released yet, and Rove is cagey enough and has enough financial resources that he definitely has serious plans for closer to the election. If Kerry can't build a lead by then, I fear he won't be able to maintain such a thin one through that onslaught.

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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:51 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I meant job ratings. This, imo, is more indicative of voter preference:
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balanced Donating Member (188 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
24. The Zogby poll looks great if you don't count Nader. If you do,
then it is a tie, 45%-45% rather than a 47%-44% Kerry lead. As usual, Nader takes from the democrats.
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gibbyman Donating Member (78 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
5. this a joke right
Ha Ha
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gibbyman Donating Member (78 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Its just got better
Just win
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. So would you be happier if * were ahead?
Edited on Sun Apr-18-04 07:34 PM by saywhat
Just asking.
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King of New Orleans Donating Member (991 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 08:18 PM
Response to Original message
12. Kind of odd
Kerry is ahead of Bush 47-44 Head-to-Head

But if you add Nader it becomes 45-45? (Nader w/3%)

How can Bush's % go up when Nader is added?
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. Hmm...
that doesn't make any sense to me either.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 02:26 PM
Response to Reply #12
20. To Better Simulate An Actual 2004 Election...
> How can Bush's % go up when Nader is added?

Perhaps the Polling Organization is Running Diebold Software
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balanced Donating Member (188 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #20
25. Yeh. I wondered about that. But Kerry's number went down
as usual when Nader was added to the mix.
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
13. Not bad.
51% think it's time for "someone new" instead of reelecting Bush.
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Mattforclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 08:36 PM
Response to Original message
15. Women vs. men undecided % is good
It could well be that the poll is off, but if the numbers are accurate, this is a very good thing.

W/O Nader

6% of men undecided
11% of women undecided

W/ Nader

3% of men undecided
10% of women undecided

Women tend to break Democratic, and Kerry has a lead even with ~ double as many female undecideds as male undecideds. I think that bodes well. :)
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King of New Orleans Donating Member (991 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. That is a very good point
eom
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Mattforclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. hopefully some other polls will confirm it...
but we'll just have to wait and see.
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Kerry Edwards 2004 Donating Member (72 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
16. Thank you
saywhat, thanks for providing the link.
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. Welcome!
:)
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
21. Lots of work to do. Need a couple million voters to switch to Dem (nt)
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dryan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
22. Who did this poll?
Did Bush commission this poll? I think it doesn't bode well for Kerry!
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-19-04 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. It's Zogby. So, if Kerry's ahead it doesn't bode well for him??
Or are you being sarcastic? Tee, hee. :D
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