Finally got hold of a red hot poll, and it's a goodie!!

[MoonRiver]

Enjoy :

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh2004.htm

[EstimatedProphet]

1. what part of this poll is good?

[MoonRiver]

2. Kerry's ahead? Bush*'s approval is at all time lows?

Could be, and should be better, but I like the look of things. Kerry is pretty consistently ahead in all polls released over the last few weeks.

[fearnobush]

4. I think the link was to refer to a new Zogby poll finding

Kerry 47% Bush 44% or 45% tied with Vader in the mix.
<http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm >

[EstimatedProphet]

8. OK

All I was seeing was Bush ahead of Kerry

[cally]

3. The Zogby poll looks great

Kerry 47% vs. 44% for *. It has not changed much since the last poll which is a disappointment.

Were you referring to a different poll?

[MoonRiver]

6. Did you look at *'s approval rating?

Plus, I think it IS good that Kerry is staying ahead! With all the negativity bush*co is directing at him, Kerry's holding up great!

[RoyGBiv]

10. Sadly, No

Zogby International Poll. April 15-17, 2004. N=1,049 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

"Please tell me if your overall opinion of George W. Bush is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, or you are not familiar enough to form an opinion."


Favorable : 53%
Unfavorable : 45%
Not Familiar/Not Sure : 2%

This is fairly static at a time when his favorability ratings should be plummeting. Comparative to this same poll previously, the rating for Bush is down, but remember that some polls recently have had that rating below 50%.

As for Kerry staying ahead, the Zogby poll results are within the margin of error, so it's still effectively tied for the overall national picture. Again, with all the scandal and bad news coming out of Iraq, Kerry's numbers should be much higher, and the negatives against Bush should be much stronger. There's something *not right* here.

Sorry to sound like a wet blanket, and I'd really like to be uplifted, but this worries me. BushCo's big guns have not been released yet, and Rove is cagey enough and has enough financial resources that he definitely has serious plans for closer to the election. If Kerry can't build a lead by then, I fear he won't be able to maintain such a thin one through that onslaught.

[MoonRiver]

11. I meant job ratings. This, imo, is more indicative of voter preference:

http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm

[balanced]

24. The Zogby poll looks great if you don't count Nader. If you do,

then it is a tie, 45%-45% rather than a 47%-44% Kerry lead. As usual, Nader takes from the democrats.

[gibbyman]

5. this a joke right

Ha Ha

[gibbyman]

7. Its just got better

Just win

[MoonRiver]

9. So would you be happier if * were ahead?

Just asking.

[King of New Orleans]

12. Kind of odd

Kerry is ahead of Bush 47-44 Head-to-Head

But if you add Nader it becomes 45-45? (Nader w/3%)

How can Bush's % go up when Nader is added?

[Kathleen04]

14. Hmm...

that doesn't make any sense to me either.

[AndyTiedye]

20. To Better Simulate An Actual 2004 Election...

> How can Bush's % go up when Nader is added?

Perhaps the Polling Organization is Running Diebold Software

[balanced]

25. Yeh. I wondered about that. But Kerry's number went down

as usual when Nader was added to the mix.

[Kathleen04]

13. Not bad.

51% think it's time for "someone new" instead of reelecting Bush.

[Mattforclark]

15. Women vs. men undecided % is good

It could well be that the poll is off, but if the numbers are accurate, this is a very good thing.

W/O Nader

6% of men undecided
11% of women undecided

W/ Nader

3% of men undecided
10% of women undecided

Women tend to break Democratic, and Kerry has a lead even with ~ double as many female undecideds as male undecideds. I think that bodes well.

[King of New Orleans]

18. That is a very good point

eom

[Mattforclark]

19. hopefully some other polls will confirm it...

but we'll just have to wait and see.

[Kerry Edwards 2004]

16. Thank you

saywhat, thanks for providing the link.

[MoonRiver]

17. Welcome!

[w4rma]

21. Lots of work to do. Need a couple million voters to switch to Dem (nt)

[dryan]

22. Who did this poll?

Did Bush commission this poll? I think it doesn't bode well for Kerry!

[MoonRiver]

23. It's Zogby. So, if Kerry's ahead it doesn't bode well for him??

Or are you being sarcastic? Tee, hee.