Kerry and Bush in dead heat in Arkansas.

[elperromagico]

Finally, polls from my home state are starting to emerge, and they're more promising than I had expected.

Sorry it's a PDF file, but here's the link: http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/AR040416preside...

Kerry - 45%
Bush - 47%
Other - 5%
Undecided - 3%

MOE = 4.2%

"In an election for President of the United States in Arkansas today (...) George W. Bush and John Kerry are statistically tied, according to latest SurveyUSA poll of 565 likely Arkansas voters (...)

Kerry leads by 5 points in rural AR, is tied in urban areas but trails Bush by 23 points in suburban areas (...)

Bush leads by 26 points among households earning more than $80K/yr, trails by 15 points among households earning less than $40K (...)

Kerry leads by 19 points among those age 65+, Bush leads among all other age groups."

[JohnKleeb]

1. wow thats interesting

Hopefully you Arkies will do the right thing and vote Kerry, sigh I know us Virginians wont.

[elperromagico]

2. I've been recruiting people around the state,

I even got one friend to register specifically to vote for the Democratic nominee against Bush. It wasn't hard to do; she met Bush when she was a little girl (back when he was part owner of the Rangers), and thought even then that he was an idiot.

[JohnKleeb]

5. good for you

[angryinoville]

14. Put Wes on the ticket...

and Kerry will kick some serious ass in Ark.

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

10. We Arkansans will

I have a shief of voter registration blanks with me, and so far I've only handed out one. Most folks are so mad at Bush and Huckabee (our GOP Governor) that they can't wait to get to the polls to vote them OUT.

[JohnKleeb]

12. well good on you all

[skooooo]

3. 565 not very big sample....

Interesting how the demographics break down. Get Granny to the polls in November!

[Blasphemer]

4. Rich suburbunites...

supporting Bush... SHOCK. Love the 65+ numbers. I can't imagine * winning (fairly) with numbers like that.

[elperromagico]

7. But it bothers the hell out of me

that Bush is leading Kerry by 9% among my demographic (18-34 year olds). That isn't right at all.

[JohnKleeb]

8. seniors personally are prolly with youth the most dem age group

by youth I mean 18-29. After all, this was the least hawkish on the war group and this age group has seen the most war, the younger ones saw early Vietnam, and many of them saw WWII and Korea.

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

6. Some things happening to help the Dems this year

Our Governor, a Republican, has had to force small local schools to consolodate, which means they lose their local identity, and people lose some of their local power. The sales tax was raised quite a bit, and some services are going to start charging sales tax in July. People I've met are hopping mad about these issues, and they blame it on the Republicans. All I've had to do is tell them that Bush has withheld funds for states, and they say there's no way in the nether regions they'll vote for him.

Note, please, this is in Boone County Arkansas, one of the most conservative counties in the state!

[elperromagico]

11. Yes, Huckabee has struck me as remarkably incompetent this year.

Apparently when he lost all that weight, he lost a portion of his brain as well.

[leyton]

9. This is good news!

Kerry really probably hasn't campaigned that much there. I hope Clinton and Clark will make plenty of campaign stops in Arkansas!

[elperromagico]

13. I don't think Kerry's been here at all.

And of course, there's little point to his campaigning for the 18 May primary, as he'll undoubtedly win it with over 70% of the vote.

However, Kerry's ads have been running on the evening news programs for at least a month now. I imagine their presentation of Kerry as a solid, dependable leader has made an impression.