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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:53 AM
Original message
Poll question: POLL: Bush vs. Kerry
There has been some discussion here about whether or not this or that methodology gives this or that poll a certain lean. My response to this is - let's create one where the methodology is transparent to us, so we know that it's fair, and we can compare the results to other popular polls such as Gallup, Rasmussen, and Zogby.

Here is our DU election poll:

If the election were to be held tomorrow, which candidate would you vote for?

Sorry, polls are turned off at Level 3.

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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:55 AM
Response to Original message
1. ROFL
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freetobegay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. Won't they accuse of of ballot stuffing?
eom
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:58 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. DU will only let you vote once.
So there's nothing to worry about as far as ballot stuffing.

(See? Because we know how the polling works, we know that it's fair.)
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Awsi Dooger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 02:21 AM
Response to Original message
4. As usual, tomorrow gets too much publicity
Why are pollsters so creatively challenged in regard to the calendar? I want to know about Friday's election, or two weeks from Sunday.

This really ticks me off: a three-day sample in which they use the "tomorrow" question each of the three days. Obviously that's not even asking about the same election, yet they bunch the responses together and blurt out one misleading result.

I'm holding out on this DU poll, claiming the senatorial VP role in case of a tie.
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 02:23 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Understood.
But as we are comparing our poll to the others, we may have to do some things which we don't understand.
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 10:55 AM
Response to Original message
6. Morning update: 98% Kerry, 2% Bush
John F. Kerry seems to have pulled far out of the margin of error for this poll, though I only have a margin of error size for samples as low as 60 participants, so I cannot say for sure:

http://www.resolutions.co.nz/sample_sizes.htm

Also, please keep in mind that the single vote for George W. Bush in this poll may translate to a selection of George W. Bush or Ralph Nader on the actual ballot.
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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 10:58 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Bush could still pull it out.
He's only down by 96 percentage points. :D
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #7
15. Get Jim Baker on the phone.
The will of the people is being supressed! ;)
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CabalBuster Donating Member (282 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
8. You forgot to include "other" or "undercided" I will go on that column NMI
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Dying Eagle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
9. F*cking Freeper's
Edited on Sun Apr-18-04 01:48 PM by WI for Kerry
Your votes don't count 100% Kerry....HAHA how does it feel to not have your vote counted to F*cking Nazi Pig's.
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:27 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I believe these could also indicate Ralph Nader on the actual ballot.
This is because a vote for Ralph Nader is a vote for George W. Bush.
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GOPBasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
11. Wouldn't it be funny...
to spill this poll into the media? Most people don't understand the concept of Scientific Sampling.
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less_perfect Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. Interesting
Hi all I have never posted here before. I'm 18 and have the wonderful opportunity of voting this year.

The first thing that caught my attention, when simply overlooking the many thoughtful points of view here, was this very poll. I find it quite interesting that a poll was taken here at democratic underground concerning the election, and a democratic candidate Vs. a republican candidate. HHMmm I wonder who will get the most votes here on this DEMOCRATIC underground board.

Just out of curiosity does anyone here honestly think Kerry is best for this position, I mean I personally kind of hoped for someone a little more enthusiastic, and being apart of American youth he just doesn't really reach out and grab my attention. Maybe he will in the future, at least I hope so.
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
12. Where's Nader?
:P
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. Ralph Nader voters...
...can register their vote under the entry "George W. Bush".
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 10:02 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Ohhhhhhhhh....
That's dog! ;)
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leyton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
14. Bush:
I need to something to laugh about at the dinner table.

(Okay, I chose Kerry. I can't vote anyway.)
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Endangered Specie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-18-04 05:26 PM
Response to Original message
17. Bush has a whopping 5%, Nader still at 0.
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