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Which polls do you trust -- and why?

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cosmik debris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 12:28 PM
Original message
Which polls do you trust -- and why?
Everyone likes to see polls that support their candidate, but which polls are the most trustworthy? Why do you believe that?
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 12:35 PM
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1. The gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls are very good because
the cumulative samples are enormous. Gallup polls 1,000 people each day, so if a candidate leads for two weeks straight you're looking at a very large underlying sample. In that case, one can say with some confidence that the candidate is probably really ahead, though the exact percentages are inexact.

Of the companies, robo-polling has been doing respectably. Survey USA has had a decent run.

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cosmik debris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 12:47 PM
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4. Thank you n/t
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Tejas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 12:35 PM
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2. Polls are inconsequential
Good question but hopefully nobody uses the results of polls to tell them how to vote.
We are still individuals with a brain.


The MSM might think otherwise however.
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cosmik debris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 12:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I was looking for the polls with the best track record for prediction
I don't know anyone who is stupid enough to vote because of what a poll says.

I just want to know which polls are considered to be a better representation of the electorate.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-08-08 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
5. Swore off them on Iowa night
Edited on Sat Mar-08-08 01:08 PM by rocknation
I looked at the 38 percent on the TV screen and thought, "Hillary got THAT much?...wait, that's not Hillary...and that's not Hillary in the second-place slot, either!" That's why I have made it my mission to keep the polling trolls, moles, and evil spirits away from DU:

GET THEE BEYOND ME, POLLS! UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



But seriously, folks, if you must indulge, stick with polls that sample a minimum of 1,000 people and have a maximum margin of error of three per cent. Use polls responsibly and in moderation--the reputation you save may be your own!

:headbang:
rocknation


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