jezebel
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:18 PM
Original message |
| Gallup tracking today Clinton 46 Obama 45 Looks likes Clinton's mo is over |
CreekDog
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:19 PM
Response to Original message |
| 1. she spent it all trying to get mo |
Tropics_Dude83
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:19 PM
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The fact that HRC couldn't seal the deal with a Wyoming caucus victory raises interesting questions about her ability to "seal the deal."
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tekisui
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:20 PM
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| 3. WY should increase the trend. |
democrattotheend
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:20 PM
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I was afraid Obama wouldn't recover or at least not quickly after the week he's had...I was relieved to see that numbers at least stayed stagnant Thursday and Friday, and am very relieved to see him bouncing back a little. I know it's not a huge shift, probably within the MOE, but the fact that both polls show it gives me hope that the worst is over, at least for now. Earlier in the week it really felt like his support was collapsing all over the way Dean's did after Iowa.
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Tropics_Dude83
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:22 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
| 6. Nah I didn't get too down |
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over the close loss in TX and the OH defeat. Hillary didn't do what she needed to do to erase Obama's significant 1360-1218 pledged delegate lead and she's running out of time.
O is still the frontrunner.
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democrattotheend
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:50 PM
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I felt his support collapsing starting on Monday (though I didn't feel it when I was in Ohio over the weekend)...I knew he was going to have a bad night Monday night because the trends in the polls in Ohio and Texas as well as nationally showed a sizeable drop in his numbers. When Gallup went from 48 O 43 C to tied at 45 in one day and Rasmussen showed a similar shift, I knew it was really bad news, because those polls are three-day-averages, meaning his numbers in the most recent night had to be a lot worse than the average. That's why even a few point shift in one day can be significant.
I was afraid she'd open up a big lead after all the bad coverage this week, but it looks like he's bouncing back. Since the polls are a three-day average, his bump today means he probably won last night's polling. I hope this continues.
As a Deaniac in 2004 who got my heart broken (it was my first presidential campaign and his collapse just hit me like a ton of bricks), I was scared to get behind Obama, and even after I got on board, I've been afraid of it all crashing down suddenly the way it did four years ago, just when we thought we'd achieved the impossible.
I know Obama has more delegates and probably will have more delegates at the end of the primary season, but if he sees a big drop in his support between now and the convention and loses most of the later primaries, the superdelegates will think twice about nominating him, and so they should. I want him to get the nomination but not if he's in such a weakened position that he can't win the general. I want him to be president more than anything, but if he can't win the general I'd rather him not get the nomination and be able to run again in the future. He has so much promise and potential and I would hate to see him go down and not get another chance because he just wasn't quite ready yet.
I was an early and passionate Deaniac in 2004, and after Kerry lost, I was really glad Dean hadn't been the nominee, because his loss in the general would have made it that much harder for a grassroots, insurgent candidate to get the nomination in the future.
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Upton
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:21 PM
Response to Original message |
| 5. Those polls don't count |
democrattotheend
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:51 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
| 16. They're useful for measuring trends/momentum |
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Even though a lot of the people who are being surveyed have probably already voted by this point.
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Hailtothechimp
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:26 PM
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| 7. If I were at a basketball game I would say |
Bucky
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:28 PM
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| 8. The attack mode campaign is burning itself out. If she was smart, she'd go postitive now. |
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The way Clinton can best capitalize on her surge (sorry!) is to switch gears now, go positive to counter her public persona.
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SoCalDem
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:33 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
| 10. Wait.. She hasn't danced the Passive-Aggressive Pensylvania Polka yet.. |
CoffeeCat
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:31 PM
Response to Original message |
| 9. Because her "mo" never existed. |
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Obama won Texas and Vermont; She won Ohio and Rhode Island.
If that's "mo" then what was Obama's 11-state winning streak?
We'll call it...."Mini Mo."
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4themind
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:38 PM
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cottonseed
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Sat Mar-08-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
| 21. Exactly. Losing 20 point leads in over a week is "nomentum". |
CyberPieHole
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:34 PM
Response to Original message |
| 11. But she is still ahead of the Chicago Charlatan...maybe the Syrian Slumlord Rezko |
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is dragging BH Obama down?
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angie_love
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
| 18. Don't think so. Not after Lieberwoman endorsed McCain. |
cali
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Sat Mar-08-08 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
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it's a statistical tie, and dirrrty hilly is losing ground. And there's more bad news about the Clinton's unsurpassingly sleazy financial dealings. Look for more stories about the Clintons and their filthy money problems.
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woolldog
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:40 PM
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| 13. You guys are hillaryous |
JackORoses
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:44 PM
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| 14. just wait until Tuesday. |
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Her must win percentages in the remaining states will approach 60% and the Superdelegates will make their move.
Gobama!!!!
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jenmito
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Sat Mar-08-08 12:53 PM
Response to Reply #14 |
| 17. I predict the SDs will flock to him after his win in MS Tuesday. The Clintons probably |
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talked them into waiting but after their dirty campaigning, I bet they'll use his next two wins as reason to go to his side.
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City Lights
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Sat Mar-08-08 01:01 PM
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| 19. Hillmentum: Overrated on day one. |
democrattotheend
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Mon Mar-10-08 10:26 AM
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| 22. Latest Rasmussen #: Obama regains lead |
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Now leads Clinton 46-44. Yesterday Clinton led 47-45. http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/ele... Obama has also retaken the lead in today's Gallup poll, 47-45. http://www.gallup.com/poll/104839/Gallup-Daily-Obama-47...
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Mooney
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Mon Mar-10-08 10:28 AM
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Her wins on Tuesday were enough to keep her in the game, but that's about it.
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Thu May 23rd 2013, 01:01 AM
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