Quinnipiac Poll: Specter Leads Toomey 52 to 37

[mobuto]

Quinnipiac University Poll. March 30-April 5, 2004. N=615 likely Republican primary voters statewide. MoE ± span lang="en-us"]4:

.

"If the Republican primary for senator were being held today, would you vote for Pat Toomey or Arlen Specter?"
If undecided: "Well as of today, do you lean more towards Toomey or Specter?"


Specter
Toomey
Unsure

.
%%%

.3-4/0452


37

11

.

.

"Is your opinion of below] favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?"






Favor-

able

Unfav-


orable

Mixed

Haven't

Heard

Enough


Refused




%
%

%
%
%





Arlen Specter

39

24

33


4

1






Pat Toomey

24

12


24

39

1

---

Copyright © 2004

THE POLLING REPORT, INC.

[mobuto]

1. Oops

That didn't quite work right.

So here are the results:

Source: (Subscription Required) http://www.pollingreport.com/sub/pa2004.htm#SENATE

"If the Republican primary for senator were being held today, would you vote for Pat Toomey or Arlen Specter?" If undecided: "Well as of today, do you lean more towards Toomey or Specter?"

Specter Toomey Unsure
% % %

3-4/04 52 37 11 .


"Is your opinion of favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?"

Favorable Unfavorable Mixed Haven't Heard Enough Refused
% % % % %
Arlen Specter 39 24 33 4 1
Pat Toomey 24 12 24 39 1

[David__77]

2. Better Specter than Toomey.

If this were a case of a clear-cut win for Democrats if Toomey was the GOP nominee, then I would be rooting for him. But it's not. If that asshole Santorum could win--albeit pretty narrowly--then Toomey could as well.

[mobuto]

4. Santorum won in 1994

a year when a dead dog could win if it had an R painted on its back. Those times are over.

[David__77]

5. What about 2000?

Do you think that's different because he was already in office? I don't know. I'm just wary of Toomey potentially winning. If I keep a level head, the odds are probably against it and it might be a risk worth taking.

[mobuto]

6. The Dems nominated a weak, underfunded candidate

in Ron Clink, and it was still a fairly close race. Santorum also has something that Toomey doesn't have - charm. I hate to say it, but that guy can say the most horrific things with a smile that wins a lot of people over.

[MikeG]

3. You should hear the Toomey ads.

They make "liberal" sound like "gay".

[liskddksil]

7. Specter is better

After thinking it over, I hope Specter wins. If Toomey wins then his suporters will all come out on election day, which is good for Bush. Having Specter as the nominee may anger some Toomey supporters enough to stay home. Not to mention some moderates might vote for Specter, but also vote for Kerry.