Things looking up for Kerry

[59millionmorons]

This is the average from all the recent polls, things are looking up for Kerry. Bush only leads in two of the last eleven polls. And we know that the Gallup results are an outlier so Kerry's average is actually even higher.

Bush average 44%--- Kerry average 47.5

Rasmussen (4/3-4/5) 44% 47% Kerry +3
Zogby (4/1-4/4) 45% 47% Kerry +2
CBS News (3/30-4/1) 43% 48% Kerry +5
TIPP/IBD (3/29-4/3) 43% 45% - Kerry +2
LA Times (3/27-3/30) 46% 49% Kerry +3
CNN/Gallup/USAT(3/26-3/28) 51% 47% Bush +4
Pew Research (3/22-3/28) 46% 47% Kerry +1
Rasmussen (3/26-3/28) 45% 46% Kerry +1
Newsweek (3/25-3/26) 47% 48% Kerry +1
Fox News/Op Dyn (3/23-3/24) 44% 44% TIE
Quinnipiac (3/16-3/22) 46% 43% Bush +3

[NewYorkerfromMass]

1. 2 points of concern: 1-Quinnipiac is a very good poll

and 2 no Nader.

If you throw out the high and low scores (like in the Olympics) Kerry's up by about 2. Any way you cut it, it's a statistical dead heat.

[59millionmorons]

3. First off Nader couldnt even get enough signature in OR

First off Nader couldnt even get enough signature in OR to get on the ballot, if he cant get on the ballot there he wont get on anywere, so I dont consider him relevant. But here are the numbers with Nader.



Average (3/29 - 4/5) Bush- 44.0% Kerry-46.3% Nader-3% Kerry +2.3
Rasmussen (4/3-4/5) 44% 47% - Kerry +3
Zogby (4/1-4/4) 46% 45% 3% Bush +1
CBS News (3/30-4/1) 43% 48% - Kerry +5
TIPP/IBD (3/29-4/3) 43% 45% - Kerry +2
LA Times (3/27-3/30) 44% 47% 4% Kerry +3

[mobuto]

4. Quinnipiac is a good poll, but its also old

Polls conducted two weeks ago are pretty much meaningless. I agree its a dead heat, but I think you have to give a slight edge, at this point, to Kerry. Everything can, and probably will change between now and election day. But its nice to see us with a lead, no matter how small. This should certainly help Kerry and the DNC with fundraising.

[BR_Parkway]

2. Faux News - TIE - proves they really are fair and balanced n/t