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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-04 07:53 AM
Original message
Things looking up for Kerry
Edited on Wed Apr-07-04 07:57 AM by demdem
This is the average from all the recent polls, things are looking up for Kerry. Bush only leads in two of the last eleven polls. And we know that the Gallup results are an outlier so Kerry's average is actually even higher.

Bush average 44%--- Kerry average 47.5

Rasmussen (4/3-4/5) 44% 47% Kerry +3
Zogby (4/1-4/4) 45% 47% Kerry +2
CBS News (3/30-4/1) 43% 48% Kerry +5
TIPP/IBD (3/29-4/3) 43% 45% - Kerry +2
LA Times (3/27-3/30) 46% 49% Kerry +3
CNN/Gallup/USAT(3/26-3/28) 51% 47% Bush +4
Pew Research (3/22-3/28) 46% 47% Kerry +1
Rasmussen (3/26-3/28) 45% 46% Kerry +1
Newsweek (3/25-3/26) 47% 48% Kerry +1
Fox News/Op Dyn (3/23-3/24) 44% 44% TIE
Quinnipiac (3/16-3/22) 46% 43% Bush +3
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-04 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. 2 points of concern: 1-Quinnipiac is a very good poll
and 2 no Nader.

If you throw out the high and low scores (like in the Olympics) Kerry's up by about 2. Any way you cut it, it's a statistical dead heat.
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-04 08:01 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. First off Nader couldnt even get enough signature in OR
First off Nader couldnt even get enough signature in OR to get on the ballot, if he cant get on the ballot there he wont get on anywere, so I dont consider him relevant. But here are the numbers with Nader.



Average (3/29 - 4/5) Bush- 44.0% Kerry-46.3% Nader-3% Kerry +2.3
Rasmussen (4/3-4/5) 44% 47% - Kerry +3
Zogby (4/1-4/4) 46% 45% 3% Bush +1
CBS News (3/30-4/1) 43% 48% - Kerry +5
TIPP/IBD (3/29-4/3) 43% 45% - Kerry +2
LA Times (3/27-3/30) 44% 47% 4% Kerry +3
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-04 09:24 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Quinnipiac is a good poll, but its also old
Polls conducted two weeks ago are pretty much meaningless. I agree its a dead heat, but I think you have to give a slight edge, at this point, to Kerry. Everything can, and probably will change between now and election day. But its nice to see us with a lead, no matter how small. This should certainly help Kerry and the DNC with fundraising.
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BR_Parkway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-04 07:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. Faux News - TIE - proves they really are fair and balanced n/t
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