Clinton's chances of winning the nomination are SLIM, not ZERO

[mudesi]

I don't think anybody here thinks it impossible for Clinton to start coming back. Nothing is impossible. It's all about what is probable, and in all probability, Hillary Clinton is not going to win this nomination.

If Obama wins Texas and Ohio by 20 percent margins like he has won almost everything else since super Tuesday, then it makes it that much more likely that Clinton will lose. Once again, the polls are closing the gap in Texas and Ohio just like they did for all the other states in the last month. Once again, states that Clinton was supposed to easily take are becoming less certain for her.

I've seen this episode before. 10 times now.

Ironically, Clinton supporters have one thing they can cling to: Hope.

[Bucky]

1. I don't think that, but I'll bet some people here do.

I think it's probably likely that she'll win Ohio and possibly Pennsylvania. She is an excellent candidate.

[HeraldSquare212]

2. Ooh, ooh, that smell...

I agree with you, I just coudn't resist.

[ExtraGriz]

3. depends a lot on the early voters in texas

i think they will impact the results in that state for both sides.

[sandnsea]

4. She has to win Texas and Ohio

If Obama wins either, it is over, unless she intends on winning with the superdelegates. It is time to stop letting her spin this primary six ways from Sunday. She wants to drag this thing out through OH & TX, fine. But she needs to win big and if she doesn't, she needs to step aside.

[RunningFromCongress]

5. If obama wins TX or OH by 1 vote Clinton WILL drop out

[TheDebbieDee]

11. I don't think so. Obama only has about a 150 delegate lead.

Even so, a candidate needs 2,100(?) to win the nomination. I think Sen. Clinton should stay in the race until she's mathematically eliminated.

Sen. Obama would be wise to do the same if the situation were reversed.

[MadHound]

6. She needs to win every single state by sixty plus percent to win the nomination

Long, long odds, and if she fails to win either Texas or Ohio, her odds start really approaching zero. Frankly, if she doesn't have a resounding victory in both states she needs to pull out both for her own good and the good of the party.

[totodeinhere]

7. But would she drop out or would she drag the party down with her?

[MadHound]

8. Oh I hope that she would drop out,

But my gut tells me that she is more than willing to sacrifice the party on the altar of her ego. I'm expecting that she's going to stay in it to the bitter end, trying to twist enough superdelegate arms so as to get the Democratic nomination in a most undemocratic way. The thing is, if she does that she's just signed her own pink slip because pissed off Dems will bail on her in droves.

[FormerDittoHead]

9. The superdelegates wouldn't let her...

She couldn't do it by herself, and I don't see the delegates letting her destroy the party.

[jaysunb]

10. Bingo !

:thumbsup: