Hillary's Miscalculation: "It'll be over by Feb. 5th"

[fedupinBushcountry]

Hillary's miscalculation



Tim Russert recalled the quote this morning, and a reader found the clip:

At the very end of the segment from "This Week" on Dec. 30, Clinton says she's in it for the long run, then adds:

"It's not a very long run. It'll be over by Feb. 5."

She wasn't the only one who was wrong, of course, but Obama aides David Plouffe and Steve Hildebrand get a lot of credit for arguing, early, that it wouldn't be over by Feb. 5.

In that interview (around the 6:00 mark) Clinton also seems to have overstated her Super Tuesday operation.

"I have a campaign that is poised and ready for the long term. We are competing everywhere through Feb. 5," she said. "We have built organizations in many states. We have staff in many states."

The interview, from about seven weeks ago, feels like it's from another era.

Watch http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Hillarys_miscalculation.html">here

[TheCowsCameHome]

1. ...'09

[dkf]

2. She's finally figured out where she went wrong.

I hope Obama wins, but I don't think he has it locked up yet.

[fedupinBushcountry]

3. The thing is

How long will it take her to figure out where she went wrong if she wa POTUS ?

[Yael]

6. Its Feb 17th. Ready on day what?

[dkf]

9. OK You got a point there. I'm just nervous that this is like the ol monster movie where you think

its over, but it isn't.

And believe me, it isn't.

[Yael]

16. Oh, we are a long way from over!

Enjoy the ride!

[dkf]

20. Is that like "this is the fun part"?

There is too much time between these contests. Its driving me nuts.

[Yael]

22. That is true. The 2 weeks until 3/4 is going to be a rollercoaster!

[XemaSab]

30. I've had that same feeling

:scared:

[Tatiana]

29. Ready on Day 12 by my count, if you start from Feb. 5 to the present. n/t

[CorpGovActivist]

53. .

[JackORoses]

8. what has she figured out, exactly?

she seems to be running the same old divide and conquer campaign.

[dkf]

11. She has finally figured out she needs to at least appear to be competing for votes.

At least she is showing up...finally she learns what Howard Dean has been trying to teach.

[XemaSab]

31. I'm skeptical

I think she's thinking she needs to scramble for last minute votes... not that she should have gone after EVERY LAST GODDAMN VOTE to start with.

[Yael]

17. That she needs to use Bill more and

run more attack ads.

Someone get that memo over to Taylor Marsh STAT!!

:evilgrin:

[XemaSab]

32. .

:spank:

[islandmkl]

4. kind of like the clock...she may have actually been correct...

just with the wrong outcome

[MindMatter]

24. She missed it by a week, but let's not get picky. :)

It was over the week after Feb 5.

[Botany]

5. Guess Mark Penn's Acme Obama Trap Didn't Work

Obama won Super Tuesday by breaking even .... Hillary lost by
getting a tie.

[Cha]

12. And by predicting it

would be over by then.

[ProSense]

7. "the arrogance of high expectations"

the arrogance of high expectations

So, for top Clinton aide Harold Ickes, primary and caucus victories are a key indicator of general-election performance. For top Clinton aide Mark Penn, primary and caucus victories have absolutely nothing to do with general-election performance.

This isn’t helpful. Do you ever get the sense that Penn sometimes does more harm than good?

And speaking of Ickes, he’ll need to work on this spin, too.

link

Ickes' Law:

Of his wife's recent travails, he said, "the caucuses aren't good for her. They disproportionately favor upper-income voters who, who, don't really need a president but feel like they need a change."

link

"Clinton aides and donors say the candidate herself never expected Obama to be so competitive"

[Cha]

10. So hilary had no idea

that Obama was going to sweep the Potomac States or Guv Jim Doyle's endorsement of Obama would mean so much? Or Hawai'i would get a chance to vote for their Favorite Son?

[grantcart]

13. Doesn't sound like she was ready of course technically speaking it wasn't

Day One

Hillary put all of her eggs into Feb 5th. Afterwards she was flat broke.

Not ready for a full campaign

Not ready with a coherent winning message

Not ready with a plan on what to do with Bill

Not ready on the IWR

Not ready on how to explain your mistake on the IWR

Not ready to be competitive in caucuses.

But the day before she puts her hand on the bible she is going to get it all together and be ready for day one - now that is a fairly tale.


Never has a campaign whose theme is competence been run so poorly.

[TheDoorbellRang]

21. She was ready for day one but day two caught her flatfooted

.....oops

[jenmito]

14. I worry that people will feel sorry for her again since the media's "writing her obit" and will

vote for her out of sympathy. I hope I'm wrong. If she goes negative in the next debate which I think she will, I won't be wrong. The sympathy will go out the window.

[XemaSab]

33. My mom voted for her because she felt sorry for her

but not after she'd given Obama 30 bucks. :P

[noamnety]

15. When asked about her faulty predictions

Chelsea responded defensively: Perhaps you had clairvoyance then, and that’s extraordinary.

[Bluebear]

18. Of course, Obama once said he is absolutely not running in 2008

Things change.

[anigbrowl]

37. LOL

Let me guess, he woke up one morning and found that he was on the ballot even though he never expected this to happen?

Or alternatively, Hillary Clinton felt she wasn't spending enough money so she decided to throw him some contests so she'd look like more of a winner in the end?

There's a big difference between changing your mind and being overtaken by events.

[CorpGovActivist]

50. "Things change." And some in the LGBT community give the Clintons pass after free pass...

... when their "official" campaign positions on our rights are the first "things" that change.

- Dave

[Yael]

19. It is worth sitting through this YouTube just to hear

"It's not a very long run. It'll be over by Feb. 5."

at the end. Very cocky and blow-off-ish.

Indeed, it does feel like it was from another era.

[Major Hogwash]

23. In a way, she was right. Her downhill slide started then.

I don't think she can recover from losing 10 straight primaries/caucuses.

That's 20% of the country.

[CorpGovActivist]

49. .

[Buzz cook]

25. She underestimated the media's willingness to misrepresent her

She also way underestimated the hatred for her on the left.
I think the latter is somewhat forgivable. The former should have been a given.

[loveangelc]

26. "It's not a very long run. It'll be over by Feb. 5."

LOL

[TexasObserver]

27. Hillary on Dec 30th: "It's not a very long run. It'll be over by Feb. 5."

Hubris.

Karma comes calling the Queen of Mean.

[Tatiana]

28. My G-d, everyone should watch that video.

"We are competing everywhere through February 5th."

"It's not a very long run. It'll be over by February 5th."

And she's VERY confident in closing the segment with that statement.

Plus she said she would win red states and had the organization to win red states.

We know how well that turned out.

***Sigh***

[grantcart]

34. "Bill is having no problem adjusting as a surrogate" lol

[Tatiana]

35. Yeah that was hilarious. Who knew he'd become the new Zell Miller?

:rofl:

[grantcart]

36. Yeah Obama could just buy him air time and take a couple days off

[fortyfeetunder]

38. Famous Last Words....

Who will be the first to remind her of this statement at a later date.

[grantcart]

39. me

[TexasObserver]

40. She only missed it by a month. Over March 5th.

[thoughtcrime1984]

41. I was just thinking that myself!

:toast:

[mudesi]

42. What utter arrogance

Looks good on her.

[CorpGovActivist]

43. But, but, but...Mark Penn...genius...boy wonder...wunderkind...said so. Promised.

[Occam Bandage]

44. She apparently thought she'd be greeted as a liberator.

[Imagevision]

45. This must be knocking Hillary for a loop, glad Bill is still being mouthy and she kept Penn...

[CorpGovActivist]

48. Thank heaven for fat favors. n/t

[Arugula Latte]

46. Here's a slogan for Hillary to trot out: "Arrogant. Contemptuous. Tone deaf."

[CorpGovActivist]

47. Truth in advertising!

[grantcart]

51. about time we bring back truth in advertising

[CorpGovActivist]

52. Tastes awful! Less shilling!

[Raine]

54. and some have the gall to

talk about Obama's "arrogance". :rofl: