Texas and Ohio polls

[catagory5]

I know these are "older" but they are all I could find. I also know obama has "surged" lately...Just for grins http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/

Obama will get these next 3 or 4 smaller states, but it is gonna be hard for him in Ohio , Penn, and Texas.....


Democratic Polls
Democratic Primary Date: 3/4/08

Delegates At Stake: 228. Awarded Proportionally

IVR Polls
Date: 1/30-31
Texas
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.2%

Hillary Clinton 48%
Barack Obama 38%
Mike Gravel 3%
Unsure 10%
Source


IVR Polls
Date: 1/10
Texas
Added: 1/20/08
Est. MoE = 4.1%

Hillary Clinton 46%
Barack Obama 28%
John Edwards 14%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Unsure 10%
Source


IVR Polls
Date: 12/11
Texas
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 4.3%

Hillary Clinton 51%
Barack Obama 17%
John Edwards 15%
Bill Richardson 8%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Joe Biden 1%
Unsure 6%
Source







Democratic Polls
Democratic Primary Date: 3/4/08

Delegates At Stake: 161. Awarded Proportionally

Columbus Dispatch Poll
Date: 1/23-31
Ohio
Added: 2/4/08
Est. MoE = 2.1%

Hillary Clinton 42%
Barack Obama 19%
John Edwards 18%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Unsure 20%
Source


Quinnipiac University Poll
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
Ohio
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 4.7%

Hillary Clinton 45%
Barack Obama 19%
John Edwards 13%
Joe Biden 3%
Dennis Kucinich 2%
Bill Richardson 1%
Chris Dodd 1%
Unsure 13%
Wouldn't Vote 1%
Source

[Adelante]

1. Looks like he's on a pretty good climb in Texas to me

He's got 60 paid staff in there now. He may win Texas. Ohio looks like it would be harder.

[loveangelc]

2. I don't think OH will be that hard. The more populous cities have large black populations

and I imagine most black voters are democrats, while white voters are more mixed and not necessarily democratic...

[Adelante]

7. Agree, I was just going by the polls presented by the OP nt

[thunder rising]

3. That's what I saw too ... looks good.

[BadgerLaw2010]

9. He's not climbing. Edwards dropped out.

[Adelante]

12. He went from 17 to 28 before Edwards dropped out

Even if Edwards votes moved to him thereafter it's still a climb.

[NJSecularist]

4. The primaries are already a month away and the Hillbots are claiming victory?

Obama has the money for TV ads and ground game organization in Texas and Ohio.

Hillary doesn't.

[rug]

5. I do believe I hope those numbers won't change.

[NJSecularist]

6. But they will

those primaries are more than a month away.

Just look what Obama did in one week in California and Massachusetts.

Now project that to Ohio and Texas over a month.

[rug]

10. So you're saying yes they can?

[NJSecularist]

11. Nice try at the jab

But those numbers won't hold. None of Hillary's early numbers ever do. When Obama meets and greets people and campaigns on the ground, he gets people to vote for him.

And now he has a month to try and convince Ohio and Texas voters.

[scheming daemons]

8. Just wait.....

When he has weeks to campaign in a state, Obama closes the gap.


There will be six weeks between TX/OH and PA. You give Obama six weeks to campaign in one state exclusively, and Hillary has no chance.