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Super Tuesday Polls will change dramatically in the last few days before Feb. 5th

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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-28-08 01:18 AM
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Super Tuesday Polls will change dramatically in the last few days before Feb. 5th
People keep posting polls showing Hillary ahead in most of the Super Tuesday states, however, what tends to occur in the final week in most states is a strong tightening because thats when people in those states begin to get engaged in the election. For the average voter in New Mexico or California, they are watching football or thinking about that skiing trip right now and if they get polled they simply say the first name that comes to mind much in the same way people order Budweiser or Coors at the bar because product name recognition causes it to pop up in the brain first.

In the last week, especially the last two days before an election people start reading up on the candidates, go to their websites, read articles etc. etc. You will start to see momentum shifts occurring at this time and sometimes the momentum can shift in a very big way! Remember Iowa in 2004 for example.

For now, most polls should simply be flushed down the toilet.
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thoughtcrime1984 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-28-08 01:21 AM
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1. I would tend to agree
I think O and Hil will be very close even after the 5th. My vote on the 19th just might mean something! :)
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