Do demographics matter?

[Tennessee Gal]

I post this simply for information and discussion.

Super Tuesday States

Alabama: White 72%, Black 26%
Alaska: White 70%, Black 3%
Arizona: White 87%, Black 3%
Arkansas: White 81%, Black 16%
California: White 77%, Black 7%
Colorado: White 90%, Black 4%
Connecticut: White 85%, Black 10%
Delaware: White 75%, Black 21%
Georgia: White 66%, Black 30%
Idaho: White 95%, Black .7%
Illinois: White 79%, Black 15%
Kansas: White 89%, Black 6%
Massachusetts: White 87%, Black 7%
Missouri: White 85%, Black 12%
New Jersey: White 76%, Black 15%
New Mexico: White 85%, Black 3%
New York: White 74%, Black 17%
North Dakota: White 92%, Black .8%
Oklahoma: White 78%, Black 8%
Tennessee: White 80%, Black 17%
Utah: White 94%, Black 1%

[jackson_dem]

1. Anyone who says otherwise, especially after last night, is blind or lying

Hopefully you don't get flamed for stating the obvious like Bill Clinton has been.

[cali]

2. To a degree

but that Obama received 24% of the overall white vote in SC in a three way race, with one of the candidates being a native son, bodes very well for him. In addition, he got 49% of the young white vote. If young people turn out in those states, that's a very good thing for him.

So sure, demographics matter but they certainly aren't as big as some people wish they were. Iowa, NV, NH and SC should tell people that.

[Tennessee Gal]

4. Good points.

The only poll I could find on the Super Tuesday states shows Obama leading in only three states. Georgia, Illinois, and Idaho. Hillary leads in all the rest.

Polls in the Super Tuesday states will be very interesting to watch.

[cali]

5. Actually he leads by 2 points in CO as well

and I think we may seem some changes this week. It will be very interesting to watch.

[Nimrod2005]

6. You are right on!

[calico1]

3. You left out Hispanics.

In some of the states they will have a lot of influence in the outcome if they turn out in large numbers.

[Tennessee Gal]

8. Here is the reason for that.

The stats came from the US Census Bureau.

Here is their footnote regarding Hispanics: b) Hispanics may be of any race, so also are included in applicable race categories.

[libbygurl]

7. Are there just two ethnic groups in this big country? How about Asians, Hispanics? Don't matter? nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. Hispanics Are The Largest And Fastest Growing Ethnic Group

Here's a better breakdown:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/01/demography_and_the_democratic.html

IMHO, race is largely a social construct...

[Tennessee Gal]

11. Good article.

Thanks.

[Tennessee Gal]

10. See above.

[Amanita]

12. Good question. Thanks for the #s