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Were the polls closer to the results in South Carolina?

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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 09:46 PM
Original message
Were the polls closer to the results in South Carolina?
South Carolina pre-election polls:

Survey USA January 23,24 = underestimated Obama score by 12 points.
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby January 22-24 = under Obama by 17 points.
Mason Dixon January 22,23 = underestimated Obama score by 17 points
Rasmussen Reports January 21 = underestimated Obama by 12 points


New Hampshire pre-election polls:

No Survey USA in New Hampshire
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby January 5-7 = underestimated Hillary by 10 points
No Mason Dixon in New Hampshire
Rasmussen January 5-7 = underestimated Hillary by nine points.

USA Today/Gallup January 4-6 = underestimated Hillary by 11 points
Strategic Vision January 4-6 = underestimated Hillary by 10 points
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics January = underestimated Hillary by 11 points.

Why is there no screaming for a recount?
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EffieBlack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 09:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. I thin we saw a reverse Bradley effect.
It looks like more white folks voted for Obama than the number who told pollsters they would.
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lurky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 10:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Maybe social pressures are reversed in SC?
:shrug:
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 09:52 PM
Response to Original message
2. that's why I don't believe all the Super Tuesday polls showing
HRC with a seemingly insurmountable lead. Who knows what the American electorate will respond to? They certainly didn't respond to the Clintons negativity in SC.
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GreenArrow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 10:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. I suspect there were a lot of undecideds
between Hillary and Obama, all the way up to the time the polls opened, and they broke Obama's way.
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