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Looks like Hillary's pledged delegate count lead stands at 210 Hillary to 115 Obama to 46 Edwards

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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 11:55 PM
Original message
Looks like Hillary's pledged delegate count lead stands at 210 Hillary to 115 Obama to 46 Edwards
33 delegates in NV of which 12 for H and 13 for O have been awarded - The remaining eight unpledged delegates are chosen from party leaders. Sixteen of the 25 delegates were allocated proportionally to presidential candidates based on the support for the candidates in each of the state’s three Congressional districts, and Nine delegates were allocated to candidates based on the support among all of the delegates attending the convention.

Super-delegates that are pledged are now 77-170-28 (the AP counts 98-200-34 - - while CBS counts it as 88-195-41 and CNN says 85-174-34) without Michigan and Florida http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/01/when-superdelegate-isnt-so-super.html).

demconwatch therefore reports the 1/19 post NV situation as 115-210-46 without Michigan and Florida

The 45 SC delegates should split no "worse" than 25 to 15 to 5 in favor of Obama.

So the 38-36-18 current split before super-delagates should be around 63-51-23 going into 1/29 Florida and then 2/5.

So I expect Obama to improve after SC so as to make the delegate race 140 (O) to 225 (H) to 39 (E)

This may be a long race.
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Diane R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-20-08 12:34 AM
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1. So, Obama is winning with voter elected delegates, Hillary is getting the establishment?
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-20-08 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. well gee....if the nomination were today then the establisment
and hrc would be the nominee......and that is what will happen oh I say by the middle of march.....hrc will with the "establishment" be the nominee.
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