Poll: Edwards Gains Net 11 Points in Four Days (48% to 34%)

[Timahoe]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Democrats_Ballot_Preference_2004.htm

Kerry Down Two to 48%

Edwards Gains Net 11 Points in Four Days


National Democrats
Kerry 48%
Edwards 34%
Sharpton 5%
Kucinich 2%
Not Sure 10%
RasmussenReports.com



February 27, 2004--As Super Tuesday approaches, North Carolina Senator John Edwards is once again gaining ground on Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry. The latest Rasmussen Reports tracking poll shows Kerry leading by 14 percentage points, 48% to 34% among Democrats nationally.

Earlier in the week, Kerry held a 25-point lead over Edwards, 54% to 29%. That means Edwards has gained a net 11 points in four days.

Two weeks ago, Edwards gained ground in the Rasmussen tracking poll leading up to the Wisconsin Primary Election. The North Carolina Senator nearly upset his colleague from Massachusetts in that Primary.

--snip--

[Renew Deal]

1. 2 things

First, of course, he is the only other alternative now. 2nd, Rasmussen a very unreliable puke.

[leyton]

2. I fear that won't be enough.

For all Edward's close seconds in Oklahoma and Iowa and his late surges in this, that, and the other state, it hasn't really done him much good other than keep him in the race. It's kind of like Joementum - it may be there (well, okay, Joementum wasn't there) but it's not enough.

[David Dunham]

3. This poll excludes yesterday's debate, where JK beat JE

[citizen snips]

4. There is still another debate.

:-)

[spooky3]

6. and I didn't know the voters picked a debate "winner" yesterday! :-)

[TheStateChief]

8. True, but...

if Edwards isn't going to make some sharp distinctions between himself and Kerry or is going to lead the debate by talking on and on about how Kerry would be a great president, I don't see how he's going to be able to win anywhere. I'm not saying that he should be doing Bush's work for him, but for all the talk about Edwards getting confrontational before last night's debate it just didn't seem to materialize.

[tryanhas]

7. Yesterday's debate did nothing to hurt John Kerry...

...he'll remain the same, but Edwards always gets a bump after debates just from people, "SEEING HIM," because he connects with people.

He'll get a 5-10% increase in some places because of the debate yesterday, but Kerry will remain pretty much the same.

Watch what I tell you...

[TheStateChief]

9. Hurt?

Yesterday's debate was GREAT for Kerry. He was in total command and even controlled the conversation when the questioners were intent on focusing on everything but what was important. It was Kerry's best performance yet IMO.

[jenk]

5. good news!

[Clark4Prez]

10. National polls are pointless

If Kerry wins on Tuesday, he will have it wrapped up. In order for Edwards to stay alive he is going to have to have some wins. Near wins will not keep a campaign alive, just on life-support.

If JE doesn't pull some strong wins on Tuesday, I predict that he will pull the plug, no point going in debt,just to lose to Kerry anyway (Dean and Clark had good fundraising and now are trying to pay off debt, I can't help but think that John has one eye on what happened with them).

[Bombtrack]

12. Not when the nations most populous states are voting within the next 2

weeks

CA, NY, FL, TX etc

[Clark4Prez]

14. A look at the state level polls

Is exactly what I mean. From Survey USA http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

Florida Kerry 62% Edwards 25%

CA Kerry 60% Edwards 25%

NY Kerry 58% Edwards 22%

TX Kerry 47% Edwards 17%

OH Kerry 53% Edwards 30%

GA Kerry 50% Edwards 19%

Edwards isn't even close in any of the upcoming states. If he scores no victories, there isn't any momentum to move forward.

[disenfranchised]

13. I think he stays in until March 9

He can win every March 9 state, and then he has a real argument for continuing the race.

If nothing else, Edwards is making Kerry a stronger competitor for the general election. I thought Kerry had his best debate last night and I attribute it to borrowing a lot of Edwards message and style.

[Dookus]

15. He needs 60 % of all the upcoming states

to win.

The numbers above show he's not likely to get ANY of the 3/2 states. So what happens then... he has to get 100% of the votes after that?

It's a near certainty that Edwards will not get enough delegates for the nomination. We'll know on this upcoming Tuesday.

[Clark4Prez]

16. I understand hoping against the polls

I did it with Clark when he was trailing badly. But, I came to understand the reality that he wasn't going to win the nod.

I think Edwards makes it two more weeks, max, but he will begin reviewing his options next Wed.

Soon he has to call it quits. You can only ride SC for so long and then it becomes silly.

[disenfranchised]

19. Please don't tear my heart out.

It's Friday night. I'm voting on Tueday. I just put up a couple yard signs and I have a bunch of flyers to hand out this weekend.

I'm calling all my friends and family to vote for my guy on Tuesday. I've registered several of my apathetic friends who have never voted. I've converted my girlfriend from the Green Party for my guy. I've been getting thank you notes from a bunch of Wisconsin voters that I sent letters to a couple weeks ago.

All these things are good.

I know there's some writing on the wall, but I can't read it because I have my rose colored glasses on right now.

There's a mathematic chance. I'm sticking by that story.

[Clark4Prez]

20. I understand the passion

(not the movie) and its a good thing, no matter what. So fight like hell and give it all you have. I think the competition in the primaries is a good thing, unlike 2000 we don't have a coronation, we have a nomination. That's what democracy is all about.

Good luck on Tuesday! Keep your heart, we are going to need every one in November to beat Bush.

[Carolina]

24. "borrowing a lot of Edwards message and style"

That's the problem with Kerry, he adopts from others what he thinks is or what has been shown to be successful. Without girding and goading from those others during the GE, who/what will he be?! :shrug:

[SangamonTaylor]

11. i think he can, i think he can

[John_H]

17. More Wacky DU Spin: Quoting national polls by GOP pollsters

to show that somebody isn't going to get beat in all but one Super Tuesday race.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. Rasmussen Should Be Banned From This Board....

His polls are worse than a joke....


He had * beating Gore by 7% on election day....


His polling consists of an automated dialing service asking the questions....


For all we know seven year olds are responding....


STOP THE INSANITY....

[MoonRiver]

18. I sincerely hope that Edwards does not even get the VP nod.

His pretentious populist mantra, repeated ad nauseum, every time he first opens his mouth, is becoming excruciatingly BORING. I don't think I could endure the "my father was a mill worker" speech being repeated continually throughout 8 years of Kerry's presidency, while Edwards campaigns non-stop for the #1 position.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

23. There's Something To His Pitch...

My father had a ninth grade education....


I was able to go to grad school and start my own publishing company....


He's just distinguishing himself from the silver spoons....

[MoonRiver]

25. He says it too much though. Initially I was impressed,

but now that speech just sounds like pandering to me.

[Cuban_Liberal]

22. I want him to stay in until at least 3/16

Kerry's lead is hefty, but not insurmountable; a few key wins for Edwards, coupled with a few WI and IA type seconds can keep him close enough to prevent Kerry from putting him on ice.

My very large and very 'blue' state would like to cast its votes before we have a coronation, and considering our 'Democratic reliability', I don't think that that is an unreasonable request.

:)

[Nicholas_J]

26. The latest version of that poll has Edwards slipping again:

Kerry 48% Edwards 32%

Edwards Slips Two Points

National Democrats

Kerry 48%
Edwards 32%
Sharpton 6%
Kucinich 2%
Not Sure 12%


RasmussenReports.com


February 28, 2004--As Super Tuesday approaches, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry leads North Carolina Senator John Edwards by 16 percentage points among Democrats nationally. The latest Rasmussen Reports tracking poll shows Kerry with 48% support compared to 32% for Edwards.
Today's results show Kerry's number holding firm while Edwards slipped two points.

Earlier in the week, Kerry held a 25-point lead over Edwards, 54% to 29%. While Edwards has gained a net 9 points since then, it is not clear whether the North Carolinian is still gaining ground. Kerry still has a substantial lead that will be very difficult to overcome.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Democrats_Ballot_Preference_2004.htm

[DemocratSinceBirth]

27. Rasmussen Is A ((((((FUCKING))))) Joke

His polling consists of an automated machine calling homes at random....


There is no qualifying for party or age....