Breaking-First Nevada poll since IA/NH

[Tropics_Dude83]

From Research 2000 January 11-13 500 LV

Obama-32%
Clinton-30%

Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com

Hillary had been up 25 points.

[bpeale]

1. there are 3 candidates so i don't believe your poll

[Tropics_Dude83]

4. You really are a piece of work

I don't invent polls:
http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html

[Yael]

10. Hey ass hat -- why only include 2 of the 3 candidates on that link?

[Tropics_Dude83]

13. Hey asshat

Because the link I found this from originally only had the 2 frontrunners listed. How does posting a Nevada poll turn into a John Edwards flame war. Ugh.

[Yael]

17. When he is in a dead heat tie within the MOE.

[DrFunkenstein]

14. No Need For Actual Name Calling

At least try to express your scorn through snarky indirection.

[asdjrocky]

51. I'm an up-front kind of guy....

Yeah I agree with Yale.... asshat post.

[MBS]

70. see Tropics' link for full info

Edwards is 27 points. Basically, it's a dead heat according to that poll. The one clear thing is that HRC's numbers have dropped by a LOT since last poll (though, remember, it was a poll by a DIFFERENT organization, so a little hard to compare directly)

[GalleryGod]

11. Thanks for the info, TD!

[redqueen]

61. deleted

[Radical Activist]

18. Actually, there are four

do unto others...

[bpeale]

42. i apologize to kucinich supporters. the poll is still BS

[New Earth]

56. aren't there FOUR candidates?

:wtf:

[Kucinich4America]

71. There are 4 candidates.

Maybe 5? I don't know if Gravel's still in or not.

[Renew Deal]

2. You should include Edwards. He's close 27%

[Yael]

7. Apparently the OP doesn't think its relevent enough to include

all three lines.

[burythehatchet]

34. He had reached his cut'n paste capacity

where are these people crawling out from?

[Yael]

45. I don't know, but whoever is kicking the ant hill

stop it.

[Barack_America]

37. Hey, that's great for him! n/t

[Renew Deal]

43. Because everyone thought he was at 10%

Instead, he's competitive.

[OzarkDem]

50. Three way race

the debate should put Edwards over the top.

[Yael]

3. John who?

Barack Obama: 32 percent
Hillary Clinton: 30 percent
John Edwards: 27 percent

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html

[Tropics_Dude83]

9. John Edwards has no chance of being the nominee n/t

[Apollo11]

28. I guess we all know -- that it just ain't so.

After Iowa and NH, here are the delegates that are already in the bag:

Barack Obama - 25 delegates

Hillary Clinton - 24 delgates

John Edwards - 18 delegates

A candidate needs the support of more than 2000 delegates to win the Democratic nomination.

[redqueen]

38. Why would you say that?

[onehandle]

46. Neither did that Bill Clinton guy in 1992.

He skipped Iowa and was beaten soundly in New Hampshire.

And he was never heard from again...

[Benhurst]

31. And a margin of error of 4.5%. In other words, too close to call.

[GalleryGod]

5. Are the Clintons still "trying to change the rules" after the Culinary Workers endorsed Obama?

Sad..sad..sad.
Bill will have to MOVE that office when this is done > "downtown" I suppose.

[MethuenProgressive]

6. The Swiftboating of Clinton on Race is succeeding.

GoBama!

[Adelante]

8. Here is a better link with Edwards within Clinton's MOE at 27%

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html

[Yael]

12. It is the same poll. OP didn't find the 27% relevant.

[stray cat]

23. Wow - Go Edwards!

[Benhurst]

32. Not just Clinton, but Obama as well.

[Egnever]

74. Wow a three way split

Crazy! I cant wait to do me some horse tradin!

[redqueen]

15. Yeah, that's not transparent.

Read my sig, y'all.

:)

[TerwilligeRedux]

16. I couldn't find the poll you are referring to

but I'm disturbed to see Michael Barone as a regular contributor

[Tropics_Dude83]

19. Here's a better link for ya!

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html

[TerwilligeRedux]

21. the most important number in this poll is the Edwards vote

yet you left it out

It's the closest margin we've seen all primary season

[Tropics_Dude83]

25. If RCP had included it, I would have

Sorry about that, RCP just had Clinton/Obama. If they had shown the 3 way numbers, I would have posted. BTW, I really like John Edwards especially since he has started calling out HRC. He understands what's at stake too and that it's status quo vs change.

[redqueen]

33. You can still edit the OP, I believe.

:hi:

[muriel_volestrangler]

36. They do include the Edwards number

To find out that the poll came from Research 2000, you would have had to click to the poll details here: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_democratic_caucus-236.html

Top lines:
Poll Date Sample Obama Clinton Edwards Spread
Research 2000 01/11 - 01/13 500 LV 32 30 27 Obama +2.0

You do still have time to edit your OP.

[catnhatnh]

20. Premeditated JEDNE...

poll not even on linked page-Edwards listed at actual poll site

[blondeatlast]

22. Your mom's up and wants to log onto the "OK Magazine" site... nt

[MaineDem]

24. Where at your link is this news? n/t

[redqueen]

26. John Edwards almost tied for lead in NV - Obama 32, Clinton 30, Edwards 27 (MOE 4.5%)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4061612&mesg_id=4061612


That's how you report it if you're not biased. Just FYI, ya know. :hi:

[stray cat]

27. Edwards at 27% - great!

[balantz]

29. Great news for Edwards!

Now, time for a debate!!

:kick:

[gkhouston]

30. Question is, will Brian Williams give him any screen time tomorrow night?

Or is it going to be like Richardson in the last debate, who sort of sat there like, "Helloooo? Anybody home? I'd like to answer some questions, too. PLEASE."

[balantz]

40. With only three up there they would look silly leaving him out.

I'm interested in seeing what the nature of the questions will be for him, and how the exchange will be leaned to favor who.

I expect John to bully through. When he gets to speak he says A LOT! I think he knows the importance of really staying in focus on this one.

[gkhouston]

41. Well, if they put John off to one side and use a narrow camera angle,

they may think we'll "forget" he's there. :eyes:

It will be interesting to what sort of questions they get and how they're phrased. I wish they'd let KO do another debate. IMO, the one he moderated was one of the most even-handed. I'd expect him to treat all of the candidates fairly: tough questions, but no softballs and no "ambush" questions.

[balantz]

44. J.E. will lead the debate, especially with just the three of them.

He is on top of his message when he gets the floor.

[flyarm]

73. fuck no ..corporate media is scared shitless of Edwards..they are cowards and

owned by the corporate Octopus!!

how can anyone who has read all that we have exposed here at DU support anyone ..but Edwards?

where were all these other supporters when we exposed MKULTRA, The Octopus, Barry Seal, Gary Webb, and all the scummy goings on in this government with the *hes and the Clinton ties to all that crap..where were these so called supporters of the Clintons when these crimes were exposed here?

How does anyone look in the mirror and support anyone but Edwards????????????

did none of you read about Iran Contra...

why not start out with "BARRY AND THE BOYS "..BY DANIEL HOPSICKER...

just start there so you can cut to the chase...

or how about reading about Barry Seal and Mkultra in the archives here at DU..read Gary Webbs writings..i dare you.

fly..only for Edwards..the only un-corporate owned still viable candidate...and A MAN I TRUST..WITH MY CHILDRENS LIVES.

[balantz]

78. Right on fly!

I hear ya'!!

Only John is worthy of our votes.

[Occam Bandage]

35. Nice. There goes another firewall.

[NoBorders]

39. Those 25 points

Presumably that's what name recognition is worth.

[HughMoran]

47. Wow! A tie!

Another close race - I'm loving the competitiveness of this primary!

Go Dems!

[corkhead]

48. "Hillary had been up 25 points." so Obama should now be up by... Doh! there is more than 2 in this

race.

[usregimechange]

49. Yes! Huge shift, still close though

[progressoid]

52. Wow, so 38% are undecided?

Oh, wait there are other candidates aren't there.

[mrdemocrat78]

66. Wow, someone else who doesn't bother to read

If you bother to look through even a quarter of the responses, you'll note that the link to the acual poll has been posted several times.

[progressoid]

67. Yeah, I read that.

I was just being a dick.

[K8-EEE]

53. My Aunt is caucusing in Winnemucca NV changed from Hillary to

EDWARDS!!!

[Yael]

80. w00t!! Thanks for posting this!

:bounce:

[Yael]

81. w00t!! Thanks for posting this!

:bounce:

[ShadowLiberal]

54. Wow, good to see Obama in the lead, but it's definitely still a close 3 way race

[TerwilligeRedux]

55. Woops! I guess you missed the deadline for editing

I find that strange. Hmmmmmm.

[Le Taz Hot]

57. Well, well, well,

with Edwards at 27% and a MOE of 4%, we have ourselves a horse race. (Note to OP: You need to edit this to include Edwards and Kucinich.)

[loveangelc]

58. omg plz let edwards overtake clinton!!!!

[tgnyc]

59. JEDNE

[redqueen]

60. What does that mean? (nt)

[slick8790]

62. John Edwards Does Not Exist. n/t

[redqueen]

63. Why do people keep posting it?

:wtf:

[slick8790]

64. Not exactly sure how it started.

But it's basically a tongue-in-cheek response to the media's almost total blackout of John Edwards.

[OzarkDem]

79. The Invisible Candidate!

[David Zephyr]

65. Great news!

Obama!

[flyarm]

68. where is my candidate?? i think this is bullshit..unadulterated bullshit!!

get that..this is bullshit..there are other dem candidates and until the others are posted this is nothing but bullshit crap!

fly

[jasmine621]

69. If the polls are saying it that close, HC will win again.

People will not be honest about the race issue to pollsters.

[flyarm]

72. bullhockey!!..it's anyones to win..and people are getting damn pissed Edwards is being ignored..

this cutsey blackballing media of Edwards is starting to backfire..as many of us anticipated!!


fly

[HCE SuiGeneris]

75. Here is a better link

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/2008/01/new-poll-democratic-race-in-nevada-dead.html

[calteacherguy]

77. Like the polls said is was close in Iowa? nt

[calteacherguy]

76. Once again, it will all come down to turnout, and this time on a Saturday afternoon. nt

[David Zephyr]

82. I think I will just have to kick this up. I might do it many times, too.

K&R.