SC POLL: Hillary 42, Obama 34 (+7), Edwards 16

[jefferson_dem]

***

The poll of Democratic primary voters showed Clinton leading with 42 percent, Obama second at 34 percent and former Sen. John Edwards third with 16 percent.

The remaining Democrats were at 3 percent or less.

The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 for Democratic primary voters.

Obama, who moved up 7 points since the July poll, was helped by increased support among black voters.

While in July, 33 percent of African-American Democrats said they would vote for Obama, he now has 45 percent of their support compared to Clinton's 46 percent.

Among Democrats, 41 percent said they've definitely made up their minds about who they'll vote for in the primary, while 22 percent told pollsters early primary results could help them decide.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2007/12/14/sc-poll...

[Colobo]

1. Winning in IA and NH will close the deal.

[journalist3072]

2. Thanks for sharing your dream from last night with us. Keep up that dream.

[wyldwolf]

3. Why would you say that?

Even in your best scenario - Obama winning Iowa and NH - Clinton is still the odds on favorite to win in Michigan on Jan. 15 and Nevada on Jan. 19. Without even mentioning SC, Clinton is also the odds on favorite to win Florida on Jan. 29 and most (if not all) of the state on Feb. 5.

Obama's rise in Iowa and NH haven't effected polling much anywhere else but SC. If you're counting on Obama sewing it up with Iowa and NH, you might be setting yourself up for huge letdown. And if such a letdown happens, keep this mind: There is no rule stating the winner of Iowa and NH gets the nomination.

[Joe the Revelator]

5. The odds on favorite in Michigan? LOL!!!

Probably helps that she's the only one of the top three on the ballot, and that MI's delegates don't count.

Keep trying.

[wyldwolf]

6. yep

Everyone knows the delegates from Michigan and Florida will be counted. Your *desperate* move to discount Florida, Nevada, and all of the Feb 5 primaries is typical. What will be funny to watch if Hillary slices through those states is people like you whining about "the fix being in."

Keep trying,

[Joe the Revelator]

7. How can you call her the odd on favorite when you know she's the only person on the ballot?

Don't you see how absurd that is??

[rinsd]

9. There are 3 on the ballot, herself, Dodd & Kucinich.

[wyldwolf]

11. thank you, rinsd

[Clintonista2]

12. Once again, Wolsh swings...

...and misses.

[sabbat hunter]

14. it has been said repeatedly

that Michigan and Florida delegates will not be seated due to them violating party rules, rules that they agreed to abide by,

[rinsd]

8. MI, FL, NV, CA, NY, NJ. Sooper Dooper Tuesday looms very large (nt)

[Bitwit1234]

4. The survey in SC shows that Obama support is mostly from

blacks. So can we stop with the sexist jokes now.

[ClarkUSA]

10. The RCP SC Poll Average for 12/3-12/12 has Hillary up by 2.2 points over Obama

Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/...

Basically, they're in a statistical tie which will soon change once the Iowa caucus results sink in.

[rinsd]

13. They are also in a statistical tie in Iowa.