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Obama is officially the frontrunner now and we all know Iowa's history with frontrunners

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 06:59 PM
Original message
Obama is officially the frontrunner now and we all know Iowa's history with frontrunners
Edited on Thu Dec-13-07 06:59 PM by Herman Munster
Expectations couldn't be any lower for Hillary and in many ways that is a good thing. The most damaging scenario would have been for her to have solid leads in the polls prior to the caucus and then losing in a surprise. As it stands now, a loss is expected. A win would be considered a huge comeback and give her much more momentum than if she was leading.

It's all in the expectations game.
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Frances Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. May the best candidate win
I haven't made up my mind yet. Hope the people in Iowa pick a good person to win.
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The Velveteen Ocelot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. Sour grapes, anyone?
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. You're kidding yourself.
Anything less then a win here is bad news for Hillary. Iowa has already eaten its frontrunner.
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. hillary was never the frontrunner in Iowa
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. and never in NH either
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. WTF are you talking about?
Up until the past couple of weeks...Clinton has always led in Iowa(or Edwards). Also, there are too many polls showing her with a small lead to say Obama is the OFFICIAL frontrunner. He's surging and that's all.
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. no, no she hasn't
in fact, she doesn't even care to compete there, so when she loses it's no sweat. if she loses NH, that's no big deal either. if she loses Nevada, that's just water under the bridge. if she loses SC then that's just going to make her that more powerful.

i don't think she even has to win a single state to get the nod.
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. when you already have locked up delegates in NY, NJ, CA +
the majority of super delegates. Winning all of the early states aren't critical. Like Giuliani, she can lose all of the early states and still win it all on Super Tuesday.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #14
28. If you TRULY believe she can afford to lose the early states
and still get the nomination...you'll be in for a rude awakening on the day of reckoning.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #14
33. Denial is not a river in Egypt....
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #33
39. Yea...and an early sweeping defeat has never seen a frontrunner
comeback the way Clinton supporters are talking.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #39
44. Hillary's house of cards is falling
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tammywammy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #12
18. LOL
Indeed Sniffa, I do believe that's exactly what some here think. ;)
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Look above
it doesn't matter if she loses every vote - the delegates are pledged to her.

i love the DU. :P
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tammywammy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #21
26. I saw it
This place cracks me up sometimes.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #21
34. Hillary is inevitable! hahahahahaha
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #12
32. LOL Funny how the followers of MS INVEVITABLE are back pedaling their expectations
Hillary. Is. In. Trouble.

Too many haters out there. I guess that is why.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 09:59 PM
Response to Reply #8
31. oh wow we have an "official" front runner? who makes it official? pray tell....
Edited on Thu Dec-13-07 10:04 PM by earthlover
is that like official baseball cards?
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:16 PM
Response to Reply #4
13. Hillary was the front runner everywhere the day that Penn decided...
to run her campaign as a "reelection". Just because you think lowering expectations on DU will have any effect, does not make it so everywhere else.
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. it's the media lowering expecations for her
just read. she's the underdog now.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. Her losing the lead in the first place hurt her. Her "expectations" are still where they were from
the outset, she's just not living up to them.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:18 PM
Response to Reply #19
37. Hillary, the Underachiever!
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #15
36. She is the former front runner who is losing now....
this is not the same as an up and coming under dog
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Andy823 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #4
22. Really?
Cause that's not what I have heard for months, by her supporters, all over the internet! According them she was the "frontrunner" in every state, and the nation. You must not have read the memos! :eyes:
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #22
38. They LAUGHED at anyone who said she would not sweep Iowa....
called anyone like that a Hillary Hater. That gawd-awful title formerly reserved for haters of Bush....
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 09:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
30. hillary was not the front runner, she was INEVITABLE!
She was the well-oiled machine that was going to steam-roller any opposition. Obama was just the little man who needed to grow up before he was ready, he was irresponsible and frankly naive, not ready for the big time. Maybe a VP. Maybe in 8 years when he has enough experience. Back of the bus now!

So now she is the underdog, and it is better to be the underdog?

my how things get spin these days.

The winner of Iowa will get about a 10 point boost in NH. If that be Obama, he will easily win NH....then SC and maybe even Nevada. Nevada won't really change much however either way. Not exactly a firewall. Obama would have all the momentum going into Super Duper Tuesday.

I think Obama is in a better position to win it all than Edwards. However, I am not discounting Edwards. If Edwards wins convincingly in Iowa, he will get the boost. If Hillary finishes third in both...then it becomes a race between edwards and obama. Hillary becomes an asterisc for the campaign, thanks for participating, glad you were here, have a good day. A race between obama and edwards would be interesting. I would be quite pleased, because either way, we nominate someone who can win and be a great president. And so would my first pick, Biden.
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Cameron27 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:10 PM
Response to Original message
5. I don't think Clinton will win Iowa.
Obama will take it, although Edwards is edging up so he might squeak a win.
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. yeah, she's been lowering the bar for some time now
Ghouliani has been doing that too.
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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
9. There is no frontrunner in Iowa. And there never was. nm
Edited on Thu Dec-13-07 07:12 PM by TeamJordan23
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
10. You are Hysterical
You have been saying for weeks to pay no attentions to the pools because they are wrong. THen when Obama gets a small lead you you callhim the Front Runner who is bound to crash and burn.


So tell me if Hillary had held her lead in Iowa would she have crashed and burned too... Since all Frontrunners crash and burn.
'


YOU HAVE NOT CREDIBILITY!
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. it's the perception, since when does facts matter?
read yepsen, read finemen, watch the media coverage iowans are digesting. Obama is the frontrunner now in Iowa.
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #11
24. You did not answer my question
A month ago, Hillary has the lead Obama has now. SHe was the front runner. You were saying she was going to win. WHy is it different now theat someone else is in the lead?
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:22 PM
Response to Reply #10
40. hillary, the former front runner, has crashed and burned....
too bad, so sad
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:20 PM
Response to Original message
16. Funny, seems like just a month ago you were still HOPING Hillary would win Iowa. nt
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. funny, just a month ago you were a Hillary supporter
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #17
23. There's quite a few people like that...funny, huh? nt
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #23
41. LOL...a lot of folks like that all over Iowa!
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goodgd_yall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #16
25. I thought you were leaving for a while
That was a short "while."
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #16
35. Not only that, but the series he was in wasn't funny either!
Touche!
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McCamy Taylor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 07:52 PM
Response to Original message
20. That means Gravel is gonna win??????
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:38 PM
Response to Reply #20
27. Soon the whole world will be watching you thru your television
...and through your ceiling.
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SoxFan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
29. Iowa's history with frontrunners
Shrub won.
Gore won.
Mondale won.
Dole won.
Carter won.
Kerry won.

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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:28 PM
Response to Original message
42. We All Know What Happens to Those Who Lose Their Aura
Of invincibility in the last 3 weeks before voting starts.
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Franc_Lee Donating Member (287 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-13-07 10:31 PM
Response to Original message
43. Hillary shouldn't feel bad, she will get to support Obama and she gets to go back to being senator
of course Bill Clinton will have to get a new gig... maybe Obama would put him on the payroll and use him to restore/renew the damaged friendships we lost because of the jerk.
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