New Hampshire CNN/WMUR poll sneak peek: Hillary losing ground in NH

[antiimperialist]

From the Marc Ambinder's blog in "The Atlantic" magazine we learn that the latest CNN/WMUR, to be released later today, will show that:

Hillary Clinton's lead in New Hampshire has shrunk from 23% now to 14% in September.

HRC: 36% (was 43)
Obama: 22% (was 20)
Edwards 13% (was 12)
Richardson 12% (was 6)

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/11/that_wmur_poll.php

[wyldwolf]

1. "No appreciable gains for any candidate but Bill Richardson...."

[antiimperialist]

2. No appreciable loss for any candidate but Hillary

This comment wasn't on the link above, but it's true.

[wyldwolf]

3. which means those losing to her are still... losing to her.

But I'm sure it will be a consolation to you if Clinton wins by 14% and not 23%

[antiimperialist]

5. 1-) nobody said they aren't losing to her2-) the elections are not today

You want to freeze time and have the elections take place today, but unfortunately, there are several weeks left and the trend does not favor Hillary.

[wyldwolf]

8. 1. The poll you cited shows they're losing to her. 2. duh!

no, just bringing something to your attention. Poll numbers tightening is no reason to gloat. The two "progressive"* candidates of choice are going nowhere in this poll. The only bad news here is for Obama and Edwards. If this trend continues, Hillary will still be in the lead and Richardson will be second.

[antiimperialist]

14. losing ground is bad news

I think you are upset because your favorite candidate is losing ground.
The title makes it clear that the point of the thread is to point out that Hillary is losing ground, not that she's not leading.

[wyldwolf]

16. not gaining much is even worse

[antiimperialist]

21. The problem is...Obama gained much

A lead shrank from 23% to 14%. That's much.

[Bread and Circus]

18. Boy, I love how the Clinton supporters have been beating us up with polls for months...

until their candidate starts to slip in the very same sorts of polls with the very same sorts of poll takers.

[suston96]

4. September? This is November....What are the dates of the poll?

Is there a link to the poll itself?

[antiimperialist]

6. The lead has shrunk from 23% in September to 14% in November

And this is a sneak peek, meaning the pollster received this information before the poll is released tonight.

The prestigious Pollster.com is linking to Marc Ambinder:

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/cnnwmur_new_hampshire_democrat.php

[zulchzulu]

7. That's even a CNN poll!

Imagine one where Vinod Gupta and InfoUSA doesn't have his hands on the controls.

[wyldwolf]

9. which can only mean it was rigged to give you a false sense of security

Those CNN folks are dastardly like that

[antiimperialist]

12. Are Marist and Rasmussen rigged too?

Wow. That's what I call a girl with connections.
Hillary instructed Scott Rasmussen to rig his latest poll so as to show Hillary losing 6% in two weeks, and 13% since September, if you want a time-frame comparable to the two latest CNN polls.

Hil also brain-washed Marist into abandon its ethics and post a "rigged" poll showing Hillary's lead shrinking 10% in one month.

[wyldwolf]

13. ask zulchzulu. I believe he's one who has stated polls are rigged

[jefferson_dem]

10. Wow. A nine-point difference. That's a serious lead shrinkage for Hillary...

Bwhahahahaha...

Trend looks good.

[jefferson_dem]

11. What's the deal with Richardson doubling his support?

I don't mean to offend anyone but I honestly cannot see the appeal. Perhaps someone here can enlighten me.

[Skip Intro]

15. The Sept poll had Hillary at 41, not 43 (link). This "drop" is within MOE.

If the new poll has the same MOE as the Sept. poll.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/states/new.hampshire.html


We still don't know what dates the poll was taken over, as well as other info about methodology. Hillary took a hit after the debate hosted by Russert, and is generally considered to have bounced back since then. When this poll was conducted could shed a lot of light on its validity today.

[wyldwolf]

17. oops

[Phunktified]

19. Polling summary

pre-Philly debate, Iowa was essentially a tie, it's been considered a three-way race for months and still is, despite weeks of sustained attack on Hillary. In New Hampshire Hillary's lead has been reduced an average of 5-6 points - she had been leading by around 20+, now she's around 15. A clear reflection of the negative coverage she's gotten. So basically, three weeks out from her toughest moment on the campaign trail the dynamics of the race are unchanged.

[asha]

20. it's a lead

We will 14 point lead in mid nov any day.