In the latest Marist poll, Hillary's overall support went down but her strength of support went up

[rinsd]

Intensity of Support: Overall, 56% of likely New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary
voters strongly support a candidate for their party’s nomination for president. 64% of likely voters
who back Hillary Clinton say they are strongly committed to her. In contrast, 49% of likely voters
who support Barack Obama, and 46% who back John Edwards say they strongly support their
candidate.

Question Wording: Would you say you strongly support (candidate), somewhat support him/her, or
do you think you might vote differently on primary day?

             Strongly Support Somewhat Support Might Vote Differently Unsure
Hillary Clinton
November 2007      64%              25%                  10%             1%
October 2007       59%              27%                  14%             <1%
Barack Obama
November 2007      49%              30%                  18%              3%
October 2007       58%              29%                  13%             <1%
John Edwards
November 2007      46%              32%                  22%             <1%
October 2007       49%              18%                  32%              1%

Looks like Hillary lost some leaners but solidified her core.

Second Choice: The top three Democratic candidates are also the second choice of many likely
Democratic presidential primary voters. 22% will opt for John Edwards and 21% will choose
Hillary Clinton if they do not end up voting for their current first choice. 19% say Barack Obama is
their second choice for the presidential nomination

They have a cool graph showing where voters went from which candidate.

Edwards and Obama did better at grabbing other candidate supporters while Clinton did very well as the 2nd choice of Obama & Edwards supporters.

http://markhalperin.files.wordpress.com/2007/11/marist.pdf

[rodeodance]

1. Its not uncommon for the weak/uncertain to go elsewhere while the

ones who were for here more stronly would be a bit miffed at the way the press is going after her for sneezing the wrong way.

[Mass]

2. That is generally what happens. The candidates that have the least strong support are the first

ones to leave. Simple math question.

[AtomicKitten]

3. I can see that.

The Clintons have a fierce following. I would know; I used to be one of them. I still admire Bill Clinton very much, but I don't have that warm and fuzzy feeling toward Hillary. And I prefer another candidate. But I definitely can see the ranks closing in solidarity. No worries. Like every election, somebody takes me by the lapels and hypnotizes me into just seeing the good stuff about our nominee, and all will be well in the universe. Sometimes when things get too crazy, I step back and start looking forward to 1/20/09 when a Democrat will be sworn in. It's a Zen thing.

[Alamom]

4. k&r

[bigdarryl]

5. don't forget independents and rethugs can vote in the democratic NH primary so anything can happen

[emilyg]

6. K&R