Latest Poll shows Iowa is a statistical dead heat.

[calteacherguy]

The race tightens dramatically when second choices are factored into the mix – a critical wrinkle in the Iowa caucuses. In the caucuses, a first round of “balloting” is conducted, and those candidates who do not win at least 15% support are ruled “unviable” and supporters are directed to a second choice among those who remained “viable” before a second round of “balloting” is conducted. Zogby polling shows Edwards makes big strides as a second–choice candidate, jumping six percent (see chart).


First Choice Only:
Clinton 28
Obama 25
Edwards 21
NOT SURE 12

Including Second Choices of Those Who First Backed Unviables
Clinton 30
Obama 29
Edwards 27
NOT SURE 15

MOE +/- 4.5%
http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1385

Anything can happen.

[PresidentObama]

1. Damn. That it is.

Of course you'll get Clinton, Obama, Edwards, and other candidates suggesting otherwise and that they're candidate is leading...but no one is!! It's anyones race to win, and thats the way I like it. This is going to be a real interesting year for the Democrats!! Especially in Iowa.

[Nutmegger]

3. Yes it certainly will make for great entertainment.

It's not over yet!

Edwards 2008! :bounce::woohoo::bounce:

[calteacherguy]

5. I'm supporting Obama, and I freely admit it could be any of the top three. nt

[PresidentObama]

6. Judging from your past posts, we don't agree on much. But this, I agree on.

It's going to be a wild one :)

[Rabo Karabekian]

2. You Forgot Somebody!

Where's Dennis? On Democracy Now today he said he's consistently fourth.

[calteacherguy]

4. I believe he would be under "unviable"

Thus, his supporters go to their second choice, as things currently stand.

Sorry.

[Rabo Karabekian]

7. Dennis Tells it Like it Is

That's interesting because in my mind he's the only one who's viable. At least as far as what he says. Gravel would be two, Edwards three. The rest of the field, not interested.

[calteacherguy]

8. By "viable" I only mean in the sense of the information I provided in the OP. nt

[Rabo Karabekian]

9. Viable says Them

Yeah I think I understand, the wheels of the machine rolling over those that pose a threat.