Romney, Rudy and the Electability Question
To listen to former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani on the stump, it would be easy to think that he is already running against New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D). Giuliani invokes Clinton at every turn -- criticizing her policies and insisting that he alone can keep her out of the White House in 2008.
The reason is simple: Giuliani knows he isn't the first choice of many within his own party who see him as insufficiently conservative, especially on social issues. But, he also knows that those same voters fear another Clinton administration far more than they mistrust him. So, by turning the Republican primary into a choice of which candidate is best able to keep Clinton out of the White House, Giuliani has largely avoided significant scrutiny of his own record.
Former Gov. Mitt Romney, Hizzoner's main rival for the Republican presidential nod, is sick of it. And, in a memo from his campaign provided to The Fix late last week, the Romney camp argues that Giuliani's electability argument is thin gruel -- and getting thinner.
The memo shows the aggregate of head-to-head Clinton-Giuliani polling on a month-by-month basis. In January Giuliani averaged 48.4 percent of the vote to Clinton's 45.6 percent and maintained that lead for the next three months. But in May Giuliani led Clinton on average by a narrow 46.3 percent to 45 percent margin; by June the margin was infinitesimal -- 45.7 percent for Giuliani to 45.6 percent for Clinton.
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