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Is there any chance a Democrat can win Craig's Senate seat?

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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:11 PM
Original message
Is there any chance a Democrat can win Craig's Senate seat?
I know Idaho is redder than red, but the times they are a changing.
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angstlessk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. A senator is appointed to finish out a term...they will appoint a republican
who will then be the incumbent...not a chance..well a small, tiny, itsy bitsy chance, maybe?
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Jim__ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
2. There's be a chance if a dem were running against Craig - n/t
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ReadTomPaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
3. As always - depends on who runs for the seat after the new guy is appointed by the gov.
Edited on Thu Sep-06-07 04:15 PM by ReadTomPaine
It's a pretty hardcore GOP area, but a maverick candidate might slip by if another scandal plagues any GOP replacements. Someone with good moderate credentials, a populist message and plenty of national prominence would have a shot under such circumstances.
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Red Zelda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
4. no
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ripple Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
5. Not in Idaho, unfortunately
That state is about as red as it gets.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Actually, there is a chance
His name is Larry LaRocca and he's a former rep. It may not be a huge chance, but it's not outside the realm of possibility.
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ReadTomPaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. And it's likely that he'd be running against Jim Risch, the current Lt. Gov..
Some numbers for the curious - the last time Jim Risch ran against Larry LaRocca, Risch pulled about 60% of the vote. I'd say your description is right on the nose. Unlikely, but possible. Another bathroom moment would break the race wide open, but Democrats can't always count on the GOP self destructing right before an election...
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Totally Committed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. What about Gov. Schweitzer?
Would he consider a run, do you think?

I'd love to see him in the Senate!

TC


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Ninja Jordan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. That's Montana, not Idaho.
Montana has a Dem governor (Schweitzer) and two Dem senators (Baucus and Tester).
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Totally Committed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:29 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Aw... I thought it was too good to be true.....
Just like "Henry" and "Harry" are the same name to me some days, now that I'm "that age".... "Idaho" and "Montana" are the same state.

Gotta stick to my meds.... ;) LOL!

TC

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Ninja Jordan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. Nope
It's weird how Dems can win in Montana but not Idaho. Idaho is too much like Wyoming, methinks. Just no culture at all, mostly old mormon people.
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. I remember 4 years ago when people were saying no way could we take Montana.
Et tu Idaho?
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Idaho is different
Montana has more union influence because of mining and railroads, more populist influence from the farming decades, some Irish Catholic Democrats stuff going on, plus the reservations. It's a very different state than Idaho.
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
13. Nope. (NT)
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OrangeCountyDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-06-07 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
14. About The Same Chance Of My Getting A Democratic Rep
Here in South Orange County, CA.

It will NEVER happen unfortunately.
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