Why are Clinton supporters so proud of a pitiful 12 point lead?

[jackbourassa]

There have been 4 or 5 polls showing Hillary leading by a very small 12 percent.

Historically, that's nothing. It's easily overcome - especially since Obama has more cash on hand and it looks like that advantage will only grow in the third quarter.

Keep posting your 12 point leads. They actually make my day. If Hillary can't do better than that, with all the advantages she has then I am more convinced than ever that Obama will be our nominee.

GOBAMA OR GO HOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[ronnykmarshall]

1. Gobama or go home?

Now that's a mature way of thinking.


:eyes:

[jackbourassa]

3. It's funny.

nt

[ronnykmarshall]

7. Just darling!

[Perry Logan]

2. I'm sure you wouldn't be crowing if Obama had a 12-point lead.

[jackbourassa]

4. I thought it was great when Dean had an 18 point lead one month...

...before the primary. I thought it was cool until he lost.

[rinsd]

5. Nevermind....

[emilyg]

6. You're kidding - right?

[deadmessengers]

8. a 12-point lead in an 8-way race is ENORMOUS

It's not insurmountable (see Dean, circa 2004), but it's extremely significant. Of course, it's still REALLY early.

[jackbourassa]

9. Oh please...

Keep on whistling Clinton supporters, but beware...there's a graveyard ahead.

[illinoisprogressive]

10. Pollers say to ignore them until after labor day. obsessing on them is wasted time.

[TSIAS]

11. She is no longer inevitable

You'd think with so much of the establishment behind her, and an ample warchest, that she'd be ahead by more than 12 points.

Basically, these polls don't have that much meaning. But I have to admit, the first poll that shows Obama winning or closing will be the subject of many threads from Obama supporters.

[Orangepeel]

12. well, that's a way to make lemonade n/t

[Donald Ian Rankin]

13. How does a small 12-pt lead differ from a large 12-pt lead?

I think that a Clinton victory is in no way inevitable, but I think that the odds of it are better than 50%, more than twice the odds I'd give of any other candidate winning the primary.

Remember that the coarse-graining implicit in a multi-stage electoral process amplifies leads - if you have a 5% lead in each of 10 boroughs then you win them all, and end up with a 100% lead.

[SaveElmer]

14. ...

:rofl:

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

15. Because that's all they got to be proud of?

:shrug: