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POLL: Obama cuts into Hillary's lead - now at (38-25), seven points closer than last month

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:18 PM
Original message
POLL: Obama cuts into Hillary's lead - now at (38-25), seven points closer than last month
Edited on Fri Jul-13-07 06:19 PM by jefferson_dem
Obama is up six while Hillary drops one from June. Edwards also up three points to 16%.

**

July 13, 2007 - National Presidential Preferences

The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters (those saying they will definitely vote in a primary or participate in a caucus in 2008) conducted July 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

Hillary Clinton's support is unchanged from June. Support for Barack Obama is up from June.

National Primary
Democrats Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07
Biden 1% 2% 3% 3% 2%
Clark 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Clinton 34% 36% 39% 39% 38%
Dodd 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Edwards 15% 19% 19% 13% 16%
Gravel - - - 1% 1%
Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Obama 31% 24% 22% 19% 25%
Richardson 2% 2% 2% 5% 3%
Undecided 14% 14% 11% 16% 12%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't trust ARG very much.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I don't either...
unless it shows our guy is surging.

;)
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. Good for Obama, Its been awhile since he had a good poll report
:evilgrin:

In other news, Rasmussen is going to start DAILY reports.

Oooooo-deeee-lolly!
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:33 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Hey, rinsd. Thanks for the nice note on Obama...
Edited on Fri Jul-13-07 06:34 PM by jefferson_dem
i think.

Just for that -- Way to Go Yanks! Nice to end the first half with two in a row, baby!!! Maybe if they do more of that, they'll actually be able to get back in the hunt... :evilgrin:

Ras can pump out those robocalls like nothin'. And we'll surely eat it up day-by-day-by-day... It's gonna be a fun fall.

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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:40 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. LOL!
I just hope most of us can make it thru with our sanity intact!
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. I wouldn't put much stock in ARG...nt
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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
6. This poll is inconsistent with what every other poll has been showing
Which is either decline or recent stagnation. Still, it does provide a morale boost for a campaign that, despite its fund-raising prowess, has stumbled lately.
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nevergiveup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:42 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Thanks for your always
fair and objective interpretation of Obama news ;)
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jackbourassa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 08:49 AM
Response to Reply #6
18. The latest Rasmussen poll shows...
Hillary with a 13% lead over Obama as well.

Gallup has her with a 16% lead (within the margin).

So i'd say it is consistent with the others.
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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 06:46 PM
Response to Original message
9. It's great but, I still think polls are too viotile right now
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Qutzupalotl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 09:58 PM
Response to Original message
10. But...but...Hillary is inevitable.
That's what I hear on the MSM anyways. Why would they lie?
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. the only significant thing in the polls is that there is CLEARLY, ABSOLUTELY, WITHOUT A SHADOW OF A
DOUBT....no single front runner.

Inevitable my arse!
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MGKrebs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 07:50 AM
Response to Reply #10
14. I'm curious too.
Who is the "MSM" you refer to?
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Qutzupalotl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 09:23 AM
Response to Reply #14
19. Mainstream media.
Don't mind me. I'm just venting.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 10:15 PM
Response to Original message
12. Good news...
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-13-07 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
13. Obama's shine is fading. His
luster is not as appealing as it once was. Folks are seeing and hearing for themselves the depth of conviction from HRC and what she and her adminstration would do to bring back America's pride.....
Obama needs to take that money and save it for 2016.....

I do thank you
Ben David
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. Obama is doing well. His numbers will continue to increase once people start
paying attention to the election. People know all Hillary does is Pander. They are tired of Pandering. They want someone who will be for them and not out to what the candidate can get.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 08:15 AM
Response to Original message
16. right. ARG finally shows the same results every other poll shows... Clinton leads by 13
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jackbourassa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. 13 is nothing
Especially given Obama's monetary advantage!
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Alexander Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-14-07 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
20. No candidate has over 50%, and that's very important.
No clear front-runner.
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