Beware the ides of March... (Iran attack, IMHO)

[krispos42]

It is my belief that Bush will attack Iran on or about the 15th of March, shortly after twilight falls.

Looking at a moonrise/moonset table for Tehran, I noticed that on the 15th of March, moonrise was at about 4am local time. The moon is waning at the time, so for the next two weeks there will be large periods of moonless night for our planes (and possibly troops) to fight in.

Our night vision gear is both more numerous and better than anything the Iranians have, so it makes perfect sense to attack when the advantages are most fully ours. And that means a lot of night attacks.

We will also have three carrier battle groups in the region, the John C. Stennis, the Dwight D. Eisenhowser, and the Ronald Reagan. That's 144 combat fighter aircraft, a dozen AWACS radar planes, and the better part of a thousand Tomahawk missiles potentially on the Ticonderoga-class and Arleigh Burke-class escort vessels. The Ticos and Burkes also have the Aegis combat-management system that is designed to defend against saturation attacks by planes and missiles.

The Eisenhowser is already there. The Stennis left Washington State on January 4th to join her, and the Reagan left San Diego on January 28th for the 'western Pacific'.

And the San Diego-based carrier Chester Nimitz is scheduled to deploy in March, probably to relieve Eisenhowser after the initial phase of combat.

Just a feeling, but it's there. I don't know if they are readying ground troops for an invasion, but maybe somebody more familar with the ground forces knows something.

http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/military/20070128-9999-1m28reagan.html
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2003509155_webstennis04.html

Basically, there will be fireworks for my birthday... again...

[Monkeyman]

1. I think right after Libby goes to jail

[The_Casual_Observer]

2. Are there anymore ground troops available?

The only likely attack would be a round of high altitude bombing and cruise missiles. It would make the ME situation even worse than it already is.

[ninkasi]

3. I hope you're wrong

but another part of me i afraid that you're right. I only know how to apply logic to actions, and Bush is insane, therefore illogical. Why is this happening? As an American citizen, I don't want to be part of an Empire, even if we are the ones in power.

[krispos42]

4. I hope I'm wrong, too. I'm not an expert

Just a modest factory worker who likes military stuff.

But.... it fits.

I would ask if anybody knows about any B-52, B-1B, or B-2 deployments to Diego Garcia. That's our airbase in the Indian Ocean that we can stage heavy bombers from to attack in the MidEast.

[Union Thug]

5. Here's ANOTHER fine mess the repukes have gotten us into! HRMMPH..

And with Pooti-poot ramping up the rhetoric, we may have a bonified, certified world war on our hands very soon. Thanks, Republicans! Nice going!

[krispos42]

6. I don't think a world war...

I think we'll be bogged down until finally our economy implodes. And Europe and Asia will watch us fighitng a three-front war while cutting taxes and relying on an all-volunteer army until we collapse, and the whole world will breathe a sigh of relief while they go and start picking up the pieces.

Hopefully we will be able to maintain our nuclear arsenal to keep China at bay.

Prolonged fighting in Afghanistan pushed the Soviet Union into collapse. And Persia (now Iran) hasn't been conquered in centuries.