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cnlst8 Donating Member (195 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:00 PM
Original message
Rasmussen poll Webb 51% Allen 46%
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/10/30/16549/829

VA: (w/ leaners)
Webb 51%
Allen 46%

(w/o leaners)
Webb 48%
Allen 46%

TN:
Ford DSCC polling
Ford 48%
Corker 43%

This may been posted before , but this is the first time Rasm has Webb leading in the polls. Momentum favors Webb indeed.
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. Fucking AYE WEBB!
Go, Go, Go, make Macacawitz eat that ham sandwich!!
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Tiggeroshii Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
2. WOW
This is a very good sign. If this trend sticks around, it looks like we will win Virginia!
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kimmerspixelated Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
3. excellent!
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
4. Webb's great. But even if he weren't, Allen is so appalling
that I'd be for Webb no matter what.

The Rasmussen poll -- which often tilts toward the GOP candidate -- is encouraging here. Let's push hard and elect a good man for that job instead of the man who holds it now.
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chelsea0011 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
5. Jeesh! The public might actually come around for a true patriot and
war veteran.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
6. Lets hope this isn't an outlier
IMO, I think that Webb is now our best possibility for that 6th seat. Corker is unfortunately on the rebound and it's hard to see how Ford wins this one unless turnout for Dems is very high. If Webb really is at 51% then I think that he will win. And I will be so happy if he does.
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
16. Not an outlier -- DSCC also released a poll today with Webb out front
New Poll Alert: Webb Beating Allen

October 30, 2006
By: Phil Singer, DSCC

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) today released new polling data collected over the weekend showing Jim Webb beating George Allen in the Virginia Senate race. Go to www.fudgereport.net to learn more about the brewing controversy over Allens arrest records:

* Webb beats Allen by a five point margin (43-38). With leaners, Webb beats Allen by a four point margin (47-43).

* Bushs job approval numbers are terrible 53% of Virginia voters disapprove of the job Bush is doing (45% strongly disapprove).

* Interestingly, the voters sampled in the poll said they voted for Bush over Kerry in 2004 by an eight point margin (50-42), a result that mirrors the actual margin Bush beat Kerry by in their presidential contest (54-46).

* The poll was conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group and surveyed 811 likely voters. It was conducted from October 26 through October 29 and its margin of error was +/-3.5%.

http://www.dscc.org/news/roundup/20061030_newpoll/index...

So today we have a conservative poll (Rasmussen) and a liberal poll (DSCC) showing the same trend, Webb pulling forward in the home stretch. GOTV Virginia!!!
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 09:02 PM
Response to Reply #16
27. I tend to be cautious about partisan polls
But again this is still good news. I REALLY hope Webb pulls this one out.
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 04:28 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. You're right about partisan polls
But this is not a fluke. Consider the Real Clear Politics average, which excludes partisan polls and the unreliable Zogby Interactive: Webb is ahead by 1.0%, the first time he has ever led in that poll. And a CNN poll that was conducted during the same timeframe as the one by Rasmussen puts Web ahead by 4.0%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/va/...

You can stop rubbing your eyes, my friend, what you're seeing is real!
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fedupinBushcountry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
7. That is good news
especially from Rasmussen. Now if only I didn't have to vote on Diebold in my very Republican district.
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dicknbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
8. THIS IS MAKING ME CRAZZZZZZZZZZYYYY!!!!!!!!
I may have to go back on the Zanex until November 8! And once again I will repeat "I WILL NOT BELIEVE ANY OF THESE PRDICTIONS UNTIL I SEE FAT BOY HASTERT WADDELLING OFF THE PODIUM AFTER HE HANDS THE GAVEL TO SPEAKER PELOSI...I WILL NOT BELIEVE IT UNTIL THEN..IF THE SENATE COMES ALONG AS WELL THNE I WILL HAVE TO HAVE A HUGE BOTTLE OF CHAMPAIGN AND DANCE THE NIGHT AWAY!!!
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civildisoBDence Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
9. Looks more and more like 1994, when the trends accelerated as election day
drew nearer.

I'm sensing a landslide--a major takeover of the House, and near parity in the House.

(Don't want to say it out loud, though...)

Newsprism
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Cessna Invesco Palin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 06:59 AM
Response to Reply #9
31. It certainly is starting to look that way.
Trying not to get my hopes up.
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
10. Oh, yeah!
Rock on, Democrats! Rock on!
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
11. HOLY COW!
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:14 PM
Response to Original message
12. That is excellent
Tester also hit 51% for the first time, so that race looks pretty good regardless of it being tight.
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
13. Live by Rasmussen, die by Rasmussen. I want to see other polls before
I get excited. Rasmussen bounces around too much for me.
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jbane Donating Member (668 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:36 PM
Response to Reply #13
26. totally agree!
Allen will pull it out. He's just too strong here.
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Lasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 05:26 AM
Response to Reply #13
30. Here ya go, posted upthread
Real Clear Politics average: Webb + 1.0%

Hit this link to see other polls besides Rasmussen

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/va/...
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Pab Sungenis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
14. That's great, but...
...we do need to work hard on GOTV. We MUST get our people to the polls.

Don't let these numbers work you into a false sense of security.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:24 PM
Response to Original message
15. self-delete made a mistake
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 04:27 PM by blitzen
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cobaindrain Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:40 PM
Response to Original message
17. this could be the final big swing!
yes!
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Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
18. Fantastic!!
Keep calling the part time voters people!!

Let's rock & Roll!!!

Get them out there to vote!!

:kick:

Let's take our country back!!
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tblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
19. Hot Dang!!!
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 05:26 PM
Response to Original message
20. LOL! Freeper head exploding just began...
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 05:28 PM by jefferson_dem
:popcorn: :rofl: :spray:



Rasmussen: Webb(51%) Allen (46%)
Real Clear poltics ^ | 10.30.06


Posted on 10/30/2006 3:21:50 PM PST by Perdogg





(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS:
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I find this poll hard to believe. If you look at the other polls numbers, and do a weighted average
Allen 46.80

Webb 46.50


1 posted on 10/30/2006 3:21:50 PM PST by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg
Good thing Rasmussen is wrong quite often.



2 posted on 10/30/2006 3:22:53 PM PST by roostercogburn
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To: Perdogg
I think the Webb pervert writings impact is not entirely sunk in yet, but it will.



3 posted on 10/30/2006 3:23:09 PM PST by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Perdogg
No way this is right,No frigging way

4 posted on 10/30/2006 3:23:37 PM PST by cmsgop ( Try Miracle Grow, with New and Improved Uterus Growing Power, endorsed by Cindy Sheehan)
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To: Perdogg
aaarrrggg! I did wonder if maybe Allen used the novel story because they saw some weakness in his poll numbers. I hope Rasmussen is wrong.



5 posted on 10/30/2006 3:24:40 PM PST by Williams
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To: Names Ash Housewares; roostercogburn; LS; shield

I think this number is out of whack.




6 posted on 10/30/2006 3:24:42 PM PST by Perdogg (Democratic Party - The political wing of Al Qaida)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
I am waiting for his defense to sink in. His defense is almost as bad as what he wrote. He equates lesbianism with pedophilia.



7 posted on 10/30/2006 3:24:43 PM PST by YdontUleaveLibs (Reason is out to lunch. How may I help you?)
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To: Perdogg
Wow. Surely this is a typo!



8 posted on 10/30/2006 3:25:09 PM PST by newconhere (bzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. zap)
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To: Perdogg
I heard Rasmussen on Hannity referring to the 'racist' ad's against Ford, No bias there.

9 posted on 10/30/2006 3:25:09 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: Perdogg
I'd think that the opposite would be more likely.



10 posted on 10/30/2006 3:25:16 PM PST by GiveEmDubya
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To: Perdogg
I have been worried the book stuff would boomerang and be looked upon by people as Allen accusing Webb of being a child molester. Will will know soon if it has or not.



11 posted on 10/30/2006 3:25:24 PM PST by jmc1969
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To: Perdogg
Is Rassmussen still doing his 3 day rolling average? If so these numbers would reflect Friday, Saturday and Sunday...and weekend polls are always suspect. I've seen several articles endeavoring to debunk that claim as an urban myth but I don't buy it. Weekend polls favor the 'Rats.



12 posted on 10/30/2006 3:25:59 PM PST by pgkdan
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http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1728771/posts
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Stand and Fight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 05:54 PM
Response to Original message
21. Great news! Looks like some of those GOP SOBs are going to get run out of town!
Recommended with delight.
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 06:44 PM
Response to Original message
22. Webb needs to close the deal with his & his son's military service now.
Webb's done it already, but he really needs to drive it home this week with voters that he's still wearing his son's combat boots.

This is his Ace of Spades and trumps Allen on the biggest issue in the election: Iraq & national security.

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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
23. Catch that -- Allen has NO LEANERS!
Allen's at 46 % with or without "leaners", which means at this point Allen can expect 0 breakers (incumbents almost never get the break anyways).
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Lefty-Taylor Donating Member (310 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:03 PM
Response to Original message
24. Oh Hell Yes.
:woohoo:
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ProgressiveEconomist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:10 PM
Response to Original message
25. From Presidential Contender to political Retiree for George Allen!
No wonder he's limboing with desperation tactics like politicizing decades-old acclaimed works of fiction. Allen may have to start looking for a real job next month!
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mhatrw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:26 PM
Response to Original message
28. Momentum all for the good guys.
Joementum = Nomentum
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