Does Ned Lamont still have a chance to win a Senate seat in Connecticut?

[DeepModem Mom]

WP political blog, "The Fix," by Chris Cillizza
10/16/2006
Conn. Senate: Lamont's Challenge

....All is not lost for Lamont...

First, he is down only seven points to a three-term incumbent with less than a month to go before the election. Second, Lamont continues to use his personal wealth to fund his campaign -- ensuring that he will be at financial parity with Lieberman.

Third, Lamont is on the side of a majority of Connecticut voters on the biggest issue of the day: the war in Iraq. If the election were decided simply on whose position on the war more accurately reflected the Connecticut electorate, Lamont would likely win. While that is an unrealistic scenario, the fact that voters in the state are soured on the war should provide Lamont with a major opening to cast doubt on Lieberman's judgement on any number of other issues.

Fourth, remember that Lamont is the official nominee of the Democratic party -- meaning that he will benefit from the party's statewide turnout efforts. Lieberman, on the other hand, must try to build a ground game designed to turn out his voters, no easy task in just a few short months. Lieberman's lack of a formalized get out the vote effort could well mean that his actual performance on election day may not live up to his current polling prowess.

This race continues to fascinate us -- as a political junkie and a Connecticut native. Lieberman and his campaign team deserve considerable credit for fundamentally altering the dynamics of this race in the weeks following his primary loss. But, Lamont can still win the race and appears to be on the right message track entering the final three weeks. We will be watching closely.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/

[bigscott]

1. i just wonder

if more connecticutians will realize that this war is a disaster now that almost FOUR AMERICANS PER DAY are dying. God freaking knows 2 a day was not getting to them - I think everyone who votes for JOE LOSER is aiding and abetting this criminal regime and this illegal and immoral war

[JackORoses]

2. Don't forget,

Lieberman is relying very heavily on Republicans.
And while they might support him on a poll conducted in the comfort of their homes,
I question whether they will actually get out on election day in large numbers and wait in line to vote for what, in the end, is a Democrat.