Ras: Ohio Senate-Brown by 3%

[Tiggeroshii]

Ohio Congressman Sherrod Brown (D) holds a three-point lead over incumbent Senator Mike DeWine (R).

Brown is up 44% to 41% and that's the first time he's been ahead in any of the six Ohio polls Rasmussen Reports has conducted for Election 2006 (see crosstabs).

The 44% level of support for Brown is his highest of the season. DeWine has lost ground in four straight polls since peaking at 46% in mid-February.

A month ago, DeWine had a slight edge in this race, 43% to 41%. It remains to be seen whether Brown's lead reflects a change in the dynamic of the race or is merely statistical noise.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/May%202006/Ohio%20Senate%20May.htmMay 15, 2006--

[wakeme2008]

1. As I see the votes being counted DeWine WINS by 3%

:grr:

[Tiggeroshii]

2. Well.. juding by what happened in 2005,

Dewine will be winning by far more than 3%... No matter WHAT Brown's margin is before the election...

[OzarkDem]

3. Brown's been ahead

since early in the year, if you include the Zogby polls. Rasmussen polls conservative, so the lead is probably 6 or 7 points. Brown also won his primary with a larger percentage and number of votes than DeWine.

Brown Could Defeat DeWine in Ohio

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/11901

[Tiggeroshii]

4. Wasn't Brown ahead by eight in the last zogby? n/t

It's a good sign he's finally ahead in Rasmussen -which generally polls more conservatively.

[mackdaddy]

5. 3% is well within the Blackwell "Margin of Correction" n/t