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... Bush is going to try to ignore it all. I expect we'll see a renewed, but flawed and fatal, effort for Social Security deform and an invigorated attempt to gain a new round of tax cuts or in making the recent ones "permanent."
He will continue to insinuate the connection between 9/11 and Iraq, and probably will try to increase staged appearances in front of the troops.
He will continue to do what's been successful for him in the past, because it's all he knows how to do. As a result, we're going to find out just how small his hard-core base actually is. If we hear a lot more talk of God and more speeches with Biblical phrases cleverly woven into them, we'll know that his base is shrinking.
If he continues to slump in the polls, yeah, it wouldn't surprise me that there may be formal military action against Syria, Iran or both. Both operations, from a PR standpoint, seem to be in effect now. It's probably a matter of trying to build support until he feels that he can safely pull the trigger without massive repercussions.
All this is if Rove continues in his present position. If there's an indictment of Rove, I expect Dubya to become increasingly erratic. Not necessarily physically or emotionally (at least not in public), but in terms of direction and of his ability to project his plans for the remainder of his term. He'll become decreasingly able to convince anyone that his administration's ideas have any merit whatsoever.
He'll eventually become what is the worst thing for a politician to be--completely irrelevant.
Cheers.
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