Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

GALLUP POLLS ARE A SCAM (favoring Bush) - evidence here

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
pbartch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-10-05 02:45 PM
Original message
GALLUP POLLS ARE A SCAM (favoring Bush) - evidence here
Edited on Thu Feb-10-05 02:46 PM by pbartch
I recieved this info in an email. Links are included.

=====================================================
Evidence of Continual Poll Skewing

Gallup, now under the rule of an extreme Christian right-wing Gallup descendant, unfortunately still carries with the general public its former high reputation under founder George Gallup. It is time Gallup's new role as right-wing propaganda arm was thoroughly outed. It began this sneaky, below-the-average-reader's-radar process of sample skewing (over-sampling Republicans) before the 2004 election. Jonathan Simon

------------------------------------------------------

http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/003675.php

Wednesday :: Feb 9, 2005

Yesterday's Gallup Poll Showing Bush Approval At 57% Had 9% More Republicans Than Democrats

The more things change, the more things stay the same. And Gallup is showing us that a leopard doesn't change its spots.

On the heels of the Iraqi election, and with the White House needing a boost in Bush's image and approval ratings as he tries to ram through a terrible budget and Social Security privatization plan to a wavering GOP, much was made yesterday about the most recent CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll done over the weekend. This poll, bull-horned through the media and rightwing blogosphere, showed an http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/02/07/poll/index.ht... incredible jump in Bush's approval rating to 57%, a five-point jump from the http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/01/10/poll/index.ht... polls done in early January. Yet even those earlier January polls it turned out were suspect because, you guessed it, they were based on a sample that had more Republicans in it than Democrats (37.2% GOP, 35.6% Democrat, and 27% Independent).

So is this recent poll, showing Bush with a growing and mandate-building approval rating of 57% a clear sign of emerging Bush strength?

Hardly. The poll trumpeted far and wide yesterday by CNN, USAT, and the right wing blogosphere was based on a sample constructed by Gallup that contained 37% Republicans, 35% Independents, and only 28% Democrats.

You read that correctly.

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll
February 4-6, 2005
Bush Approval/Disapproval 57%-40%

Republicans: 378 (37%)
Independents: 353 (35%)
Democrats: 279 (28%)

When I received these numbers, I thought they were juxtaposed in error. So I asked Gallup to confirm them, which they politely did. I mean, why would Gallup knowingly use a poll that had almost a hundred fewer Democrats in it than Republicans, and think it was credible?

Sometime between the January poll and this early February poll, Gallup feels that Democrats have fallen through the floor amongst the electorate as a whole, even though other polls since the election show the Democrats retaking a lead over the GOP.

The mid-January NBC News/Wall Street Journal http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/media/poll200501... poll was based on a sample that contained 39% Republicans and 39% Democrats; poll respondents said that Bush did not have a mandate.

The mid-January CBS News/New York Times http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/01/19/opinion/polls...
poll was based on a http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/02/03/opinion/polls... sample that contained 34% Democrats and 31% Republicans.

The Pew Center poll and http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=2... analysis released January 24, 2005 reflected a split of 33% Democrat, 30% Republican.

And it should be noted than an ABC News/Washington Post poll done in mid-December showed that Americans self-identified http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/003383.php#00338... 11% more as being Democrats (38%) than those who identified as being Republican (27%).

Yet Gallup looks at the electorate over the weekend and somehow feels that Democrats have fallen to only 28% of the electorate, a figure never seen for the party in decades if ever. At what point in our history over the last several decades has the GOP ever had a 9% edge over the Democrats? And knowing that, why would they put out a poll showing a 57% approval rating when they must know that it is based on a bogus sample?

What makes this poll all the more amazing is that even with this sample over-weighted heavily towards the GOP, respondents felt that the best way to deal with Social Security's funding shortfall wasn't through Bush's private accounts, but rather through making the http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/003669.php wealthy pay more by raising the income ceiling subject to withholding taxes and reducing benefits for the wealthy. So Bush can't even sell his own party on his privatization plan.

With this poll, Gallup appears to be firmly a propaganda arm of the White House and RNC.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-10-05 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. playing devil's advocate
Gallup's final election poll also was pretty accurate and they continued to poll more Republicans than Democrats. Is it because more Republicans seem to be paying attention than Democrats?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
LibertyorDeath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-10-05 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Yes I'm sure that's it. Sarcasm off
"Is it because more Republicans seem to be paying attention than Democrats?"
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
latteromden Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-10-05 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
2. The last poll they did was even worse than 9%. It's getting ridiculous.
Just can't trust them anymore.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Aug 28th 2014, 01:12 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC