MONSTER GRAPH OF 49 STATES: EXIT VS. ACTUAL (38 DEVIATIONS TO BUSH)

[TruthIsAll]

On Edit: 38 of 49 to Bush
Hard to believe, but check the final exit polls vs. the actual votes.

Diff= Kerry - Bush

Bush Gain = Exit Diff - Vote Diff

To clarify:

If the Vote difference is < 0, Bush won the state; otherwise Kerry won.

If the Exit Poll difference is > 0, Kerry was ahead in the Exit Poll; otherwise, Bush was ahead.

If the Bush gain is > 0, his vote percent was greater than his Exit Poll percent.


Image

This is the data source link:
Scoop: 47 State Exit Poll Analysis Confirms Swing Anomaly
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

[zulchzulu]

1. Got Excel?

Curious...thanks for the graphic.

[TruthIsAll]

6. I do EVERYTHING in Excel

tia

[BlueEyedSon]

2. thx...nice

[Eric J in MN]

3. Minnesota,

You're saying an Exit Poll had Bush losing by 9 points in Minnesota?

What Exit Poll at what time? Do you have a link to that Exit Poll?

[TruthIsAll]

5. I just added the link to the original Post

tia

[DELUSIONAL]

4. Kick

[NMDemDist2]

7. are the negative numbers the ones that went Kerry's way? n/t

[TruthIsAll]

9. I just updated the post to clarify.

tia

[Sick_of_Rethuggery]

8. Suggestion...

If you plot Bush - Kerry for the differences, then the shift to Bush (Bush gain) will be more apparent...

[TruthIsAll]

10. I know, but that has already been done. See the link.

Thanks.