Round One: Supreme Court NomineesThe Supreme Court is my pet issue, since it really isn't one single issue. If an issue is controversial - if an issue could possibly end-up before a judge - it will find its way to the court system. Democrats and Republicans are both very quick to jump to court challenges when nasty laws are passed, or when certain executive orders are issued, or when certain asshole election offcials make totally unfair decisions. With the Supreme Court on our side, we have The Final Word on 99% of the issues - a GREAT insurance policy for when the GOP comes back into power.
So Round One is pretty much an elimination round. I require that a candidate do at least one thing from this list:
1) state that he/she has a litmus test for judges
2) states that Ginsburg/Stevens/Souter/Breyer is his/her favorite judge
3) bashes Thomas, Scalia, or Rehnquist
4) explicitly bashes the crumbling wall between church & state in context of a Supreme Court discussion
If a candidate fails to do one of these things, he/she is eliminated.
If the candidate does one or more of those things, he/she passes to the next round.
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Round Two: Electoral Map MathIn this round, I turn to the electoral map hanging on my office wall. I look at where each remaining candidate is from, and whether or not he/she would succeed in turning-out or tilting a particular demographic in our favor. Obviously, candidates from Do-Able Red States or Weak Blue States have an advantage in this round. For a candidate to win this round, he/she must convince me that:
1) he/she can hold-onto the 264EVs of states won by Kerry & Gore;
2) he/she has a pretty good chance at flipping one or more Red States by virtue of home state status or higher demographic turnout.
Basically, it's all about getting to 270EVs in Round Two. I weigh the Red State Conversion Evidence and then rank my top three candidates, in order of my perception of their ability to flip Red States. As the candidates drop from the race, I move down the list.
Pretty simple. It might not be for everyone..
