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PaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 01:37 PM
Original message
The Upper Midwest
Kerry needs to win 2 of the 3 Upper MW states that are in play (Minn, Wisky and Iowa). Reportedly an NPR poll today in Minnesota shows Bush with a 3 pt lead there. Can anyone validate this (I got it second hand)? Of those three states Minnesota is the one I would expect to be most likely to go Blue. By winning two of those states Kerry will have effectively made this a two state election (OH and FLA). He'd need to win one of them. Losing more than one of those states in the Upper Midwest means Kerry has to turn either Colorado or Arkansas Blue or win both FLA and OH. Possible, but I'd rather avoid that scenario all together. What are peoples thoughts on the Upper Midwest?
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MsAnthropy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 01:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. He WILL win Minnesota
All those polls are bogus.
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PaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 01:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. I might add........
that I was told Nader is polling at around 5% in Minnesota as well. ARG polls out today have him polling at 4% in WI and IA. We really do need to get the vote out.
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bornskeptic Donating Member (951 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. You read that wrong.
In the ARG polls Nader is 1% in Wisconsin and Iowa. Undecideds are 4%.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/
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PaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Thank you, my error......
numbers all bunched together, me being so eager to blast Nader etc. Can't wait for November 3rd.
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DuaneBidoux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. I think you might want to look again at the ARG polls
I saw them on another thread and it was Nader 1% and Undecideds 4% but the columns were off - you had to count over to be sure.
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winga222 Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. All Seems to Hinge on Iowa
I agree completely with PaDem. I'm working the GOTV for 4 straight days in OH and feel confident we can deliver. I think PA is also in the bag, or as much as any "close" state can be. Before, CW said that whoever got 2 out of 3 from OH/PA/FL would win. Now I think it's 2 out of 3 for MN/WI/IA. I feel good about MN, bad about WI, and think it all comes down to Iowa. Iowans, how is it looking? I'd love to hear something reassuring.
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montana500 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:04 PM
Response to Original message
5. latest Min poll has Kerry up 7 nm
nm
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