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10/22 Democracy Corps Poll - Kerry 49% Bush 47% LV

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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:16 PM
Original message
10/22 Democracy Corps Poll - Kerry 49% Bush 47% LV
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pmbryant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:23 PM
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1. Very interesting results
I notice that Democracy Corps explicitly tries to factor in new voters in their "likely voter" model. I suspect this is not the case with organizations like Gallup. Is that right?

--Peter
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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I don't know the answer to your question
If tritsofme is around he/she can probably answer it for you. He/She's very familiar with Gallup Methodology.
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annerevere Donating Member (286 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:28 PM
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3. Read the transcript - very insightful (eom)
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:34 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. yes,
it appears that in the battleground states Kerry has a very good lead and their own private polls indicate this as well.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:30 PM
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4. Great
Are they doing daily polls? seems like they just had one a couple of days ago.
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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. It looks like every 3-4 days
Here's a link to all of their reports

http://www.democracycorps.com/reports/index.html
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:43 PM
Response to Original message
7. I'll kick this
because I don't want another good poll thread to disappear, seems only the bad poll threads last around here.
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i_c_a_White_Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:44 PM
Response to Original message
8. looks like time for another cnn/time/gallup poll
Edited on Fri Oct-22-04 04:44 PM by LiberalStance
to throw shit on the fire.:puke:
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kerry2win Donating Member (321 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 04:54 PM
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9. Surging
The numbers in the last 2 wks are dramatic increases for battleground and independents..double digits!!! * can win Texas by 80% for all I care, He's not leading where it counts.
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jacksonian Donating Member (699 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-22-04 05:16 PM
Response to Original message
10. kick
for great information
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