AP Poll: Bush, Kerry Tied in Popular Vote- Kerry (49%), Bush (46%)

[JCMach1]

President Bush (news - web sites) and Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) are locked in a tie for the popular vote, according to an Associated Press poll, while a chunk of voters vacillate between their desire for change and their doubts about the alternative... The result is deadlock. In the survey of 976 likely voters, Democrats Kerry and Sen. John Edwards (news - web sites) had 49 percent, compared to 46 percent for Republicans Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney (news - web sites). That's within the margin of error for the poll conducted Oct. 18-20.

There has been little or no change since the first debate, when an uneven performance cost Bush the lead over Kerry. The AP-Ipsos Public Affairs poll illuminates how both sides hope to break the logjam — Kerry by appealing to voters' desire for a new direction and Bush by fanning their fears about the risks of change.

The target: about 17 percent of likely voters who say they're undecided or are tentatively backing a candidate while remaining open to changing their minds...

http://www.thesyndrome.com

or
http://www.thesyndrome.com/archives/00001186.htm

[freetobegay]

1. I've said it once, I'll say it again

At this time there are no undecideds! If there is God help them.

[6th Borough]

2. Hard to believe, but on a positive note, late-undecideds who DO vote...

...tend to break against the incumbent.

[KharmaTrain]

3. The Evil Empire Remains Flatlined

With the polls so out of whack as they are, the qualitative doesn't say as much as the quanitative...and poll after poll we're seeing Bunnypants stuck in that 46-48% range...hasn't really moved much. Plus if you look at the individual states and tracking polls, those are flat or on the decline. This is what one would call "momentum", no???

[otohara]

4. How Odd - When Kerry's Ahead - It's Always A Tie

in the corporate whorish press...when * is ahead, Bush is winning!