Rasmussen Battleground for 10/13

[louis c]

Rasmussen 3 day national tracking numbers are Bush 47.6% to Kerry 46.2%. This is a 0.2% Kerry gain from yesterday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

In the Zogby 3 day tracking poll for the same days has Bush and Kerry tied at 45%. However, look at the explanation by John Zogby on where the 7% of undecideds are headed. It certainly lines up with the historical norm of the challenger receiving 2/3 of the undecideds in a race with an incumbent in the final three weeks.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=884

Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states, are:

Florida, Bush 48%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and 4 points in a week)

Michigan, Kerry 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain, and is consistent with a Kerry lead of 3 or 4 points since Kerry took over the lead here one week ago)

Ohio, Bush 50%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday, and it is 1 point less then the 5 point margin Bush held a week ago)

Minnesota, Kerry 48%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and is consistent with a 2 or 3 point Kerry margin for the last week)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 47%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and is consistent with a 1 or 2 point Kerry margin every day since he took the lead over from Bush a week ago)

[jezebel]

1. Thanks so much for posting. I look forward to your post each day. NT

nt

[redsoxliberal]

2. agreed

[louis c]

3. South Dakota

South Dakota numbers are Bush 52%-42%. This is a 2 point Kerry gain from a week ago

In the Senate Race Daschle (D) and Thune (R) are tied at 49%. This is a 4 point gain for Daschle.

In the lone SD House race, Herseth (D) leads Diedrich (R) by 52%-47%. This is a 2 point Diedrich gain from a week ago.

[DaveinMD]

4. Rasmussen

is still off from most media state polls.

[louis c]

5. I don't do the polling

just the posting.

I agree about Rasmussen, that's why I cross check with Zogby.